Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.092.87safe0.81–2.750.24–1.951.05–4.69safer0.56–3.000.01–2.180.57–5.17
Shots on target
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.904.029.92safe4.04–7.762.28–5.766.32–13.53safer3.55–8.251.81–6.235.36–14.48
Total shots
71%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2811.8827.16safe11.35–19.208.32–15.4419.67–34.64safer10.26–20.297.36–16.4017.62–36.69
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction10.007.6217.62safe7.06–12.944.94–10.3012.00–23.25safer6.23–13.774.20–11.0410.43–24.81
Blocked shots
50%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.083.577.65safe2.20–5.961.92–5.224.11–11.18safer1.65–6.501.42–5.713.08–12.22
Corners
61%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.884.4910.37safe3.67–8.102.49–6.496.16–14.59safer3.10–8.671.96–7.025.05–15.69
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.5745.36safe48.78–62.3638.57–52.14safer47.11–64.0336.90–53.82
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction535435970safe468–602368–501836–1104safer450–621351–519801–1139
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction73.8873.22safe69.85–77.9168.90–77.54safer68.56–79.2067.59–78.85
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2510.6622.91safe9.41–15.087.72–13.6117.13–28.69safer8.65–15.846.97–14.3615.62–30.20
Offsides
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.513.43safe0.76–3.080.42–2.611.18–5.69safer0.46–3.380.13–2.890.59–6.28
Yellow cards
37%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.713.33safe0.57–2.670.58–2.841.15–5.51safer0.30–2.930.29–3.130.59–6.07
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
26%
14%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction2.783.936.71safe1.34–4.212.37–5.493.72–9.70safer0.95–4.601.95–5.912.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.78 0.81–2.75 0.56–3.00 | 1.09 0.24–1.95 0.01–2.18 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 53% 23% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.90 4.04–7.76 3.55–8.25 | 4.02 2.28–5.76 1.81–6.23 | 9.92 6.32–13.53 5.36–14.48 | 67% 22% |
| Total shots | 15.28 11.35–19.20 10.26–20.29 | 11.88 8.32–15.44 7.36–16.40 | 27.16 19.67–34.64 17.62–36.69 | 71% 23% |
| Shots in box | 10.00 7.06–12.94 6.23–13.77 | 7.62 4.94–10.30 4.20–11.04 | 17.62 12.00–23.25 10.43–24.81 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 2.20–5.96 1.65–6.50 | 3.57 1.92–5.22 1.42–5.71 | 7.65 4.11–11.18 3.08–12.22 | 50% 14% 36% |
| Corners | 5.88 3.67–8.10 3.10–8.67 | 4.49 2.49–6.49 1.96–7.02 | 10.37 6.16–14.59 5.05–15.69 | 61% 28% |
| Possession % | 55.57 48.78–62.36 47.11–64.03 | 45.36 38.57–52.14 36.90–53.82 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 535 468–602 450–621 | 435 368–501 351–519 | 970 836–1104 801–1139 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.88 69.85–77.91 68.56–79.20 | 73.22 68.90–77.54 67.59–78.85 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 12.25 9.41–15.08 8.65–15.84 | 10.66 7.72–13.61 6.97–14.36 | 22.91 17.13–28.69 15.62–30.20 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.38 | 1.51 0.42–2.61 0.13–2.89 | 3.43 1.18–5.69 0.59–6.28 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.30–2.93 | 1.71 0.58–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.33 1.15–5.51 0.59–6.07 | 37% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.34–4.21 0.95–4.60 | 3.93 2.37–5.49 1.95–5.91 | 6.71 3.72–9.70 2.90–10.51 | 26% 14% 60% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.