Predicted match statistics
Goals
62%
21%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction2.000.952.95safe1.03–2.970.09–1.801.12–4.77safer0.78–3.220.00–2.030.64–5.25
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.113.369.46safe4.24–7.971.61–5.105.86–13.07safer3.75–8.461.15–5.574.90–14.02
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction16.419.3825.80safe12.49–20.345.82–12.9518.31–33.28safer11.39–21.434.86–13.9116.26–35.33
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction10.966.1117.07safe8.02–13.903.43–8.7911.44–22.69safer7.19–14.732.69–9.539.88–24.26
Blocked shots
64%
14%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.062.596.65safe2.18–5.940.94–4.243.11–10.18safer1.63–6.480.44–4.732.08–11.22
Corners
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction6.253.479.72safe4.03–8.461.47–5.475.50–13.93safer3.46–9.040.93–6.004.39–15.04
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.7644.85safe48.97–62.5538.07–51.64safer47.30–64.2236.40–53.31
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5554591013safe487–622392–525880–1147safer469–640375–543844–1183
Pass accuracy %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction73.8572.61safe69.82–77.8868.28–76.93safer68.53–79.1766.97–78.24
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5911.7722.36safe7.75–13.438.82–14.7116.57–28.14safer7.00–14.188.07–15.4615.07–29.64
Offsides
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.363.28safe0.76–3.080.27–2.461.03–5.54safer0.46–3.380.00–2.740.44–6.13
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.913.49safe0.53–2.630.78–3.041.31–5.67safer0.27–2.900.49–3.330.76–6.23
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.424.296.70safe0.98–3.852.73–5.843.71–9.69safer0.59–4.242.30–6.272.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.00 1.03–2.97 0.78–3.22 | 0.95 0.09–1.80 0.00–2.03 | 2.95 1.12–4.77 0.64–5.25 | 62% 21% 17% |
| Shots on target | 6.11 4.24–7.97 3.75–8.46 | 3.36 1.61–5.10 1.15–5.57 | 9.46 5.86–13.07 4.90–14.02 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 16.41 12.49–20.34 11.39–21.43 | 9.38 5.82–12.95 4.86–13.91 | 25.80 18.31–33.28 16.26–35.33 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 10.96 8.02–13.90 7.19–14.73 | 6.11 3.43–8.79 2.69–9.53 | 17.07 11.44–22.69 9.88–24.26 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 4.06 2.18–5.94 1.63–6.48 | 2.59 0.94–4.24 0.44–4.73 | 6.65 3.11–10.18 2.08–11.22 | 64% 14% 22% |
| Corners | 6.25 4.03–8.46 3.46–9.04 | 3.47 1.47–5.47 0.93–6.00 | 9.72 5.50–13.93 4.39–15.04 | 77% 14% |
| Possession % | 55.76 48.97–62.55 47.30–64.22 | 44.85 38.07–51.64 36.40–53.31 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 555 487–622 469–640 | 459 392–525 375–543 | 1013 880–1147 844–1183 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.85 69.82–77.88 68.53–79.17 | 72.61 68.28–76.93 66.97–78.24 | — | 54% 41% |
| Fouls | 10.59 7.75–13.43 7.00–14.18 | 11.77 8.82–14.71 8.07–15.46 | 22.36 16.57–28.14 15.07–29.64 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.38 | 1.36 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.74 | 3.28 1.03–5.54 0.44–6.13 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.49 1.31–5.67 0.76–6.23 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 4.29 2.73–5.84 2.30–6.27 | 6.70 3.71–9.69 2.90–10.51 | 18% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.