Ligue 1·Regular Season - 13·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.142.74safe0.63–2.560.29–2.000.92–4.56safer0.38–2.820.06–2.230.44–5.04
Shots on target
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.983.968.95safe3.12–6.852.22–5.715.34–12.55safer2.63–7.341.76–6.174.39–13.51
Total shots
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2310.7325.95safe11.30–19.157.16–14.2918.47–33.44safer10.21–20.256.20–15.2516.42–35.49
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.677.1816.85safe6.73–12.614.50–9.8611.23–22.48safer5.90–13.443.76–10.609.66–24.04
Blocked shots
60%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.892.716.60safe2.00–5.771.06–4.363.06–10.13safer1.46–6.310.57–4.862.03–11.17
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.504.349.83safe3.28–7.712.34–6.345.62–14.05safer2.71–8.281.80–6.874.51–15.15
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction55.6844.15safe48.89–62.4837.37–50.94safer47.22–64.1435.69–52.61
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction545425971safe478–613359–492837–1104safer460–631341–509801–1140
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction73.9971.58safe69.96–78.0267.26–75.91safer68.67–79.3165.95–77.22
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5710.9924.56safe10.73–16.418.05–13.9318.78–30.34safer9.98–17.167.30–14.6817.27–31.85
Offsides
39%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.633.28safe0.48–2.800.54–2.731.02–5.53safer0.18–3.100.25–3.010.43–6.12
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.933.59safe0.62–2.710.80–3.051.41–5.77safer0.35–2.980.51–3.350.85–6.33
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.633.476.10safe1.19–4.061.91–5.033.10–9.09safer0.80–4.451.49–5.452.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.63–2.56 0.38–2.82 | 1.14 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.23 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.98 3.12–6.85 2.63–7.34 | 3.96 2.22–5.71 1.76–6.17 | 8.95 5.34–12.55 4.39–13.51 | 57% 30% |
| Total shots | 15.23 11.30–19.15 10.21–20.25 | 10.73 7.16–14.29 6.20–15.25 | 25.95 18.47–33.44 16.42–35.49 | 78% 16% |
| Shots in box | 9.67 6.73–12.61 5.90–13.44 | 7.18 4.50–9.86 3.76–10.60 | 16.85 11.23–22.48 9.66–24.04 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.00–5.77 1.46–6.31 | 2.71 1.06–4.36 0.57–4.86 | 6.60 3.06–10.13 2.03–11.17 | 60% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.50 3.28–7.71 2.71–8.28 | 4.34 2.34–6.34 1.80–6.87 | 9.83 5.62–14.05 4.51–15.15 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 55.68 48.89–62.48 47.22–64.14 | 44.15 37.37–50.94 35.69–52.61 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 545 478–613 460–631 | 425 359–492 341–509 | 971 837–1104 801–1140 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.99 69.96–78.02 68.67–79.31 | 71.58 67.26–75.91 65.95–77.22 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 13.57 10.73–16.41 9.98–17.16 | 10.99 8.05–13.93 7.30–14.68 | 24.56 18.78–30.34 17.27–31.85 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.63 0.54–2.73 0.25–3.01 | 3.28 1.02–5.53 0.43–6.12 | 39% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.62–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 1.93 0.80–3.05 0.51–3.35 | 3.59 1.41–5.77 0.85–6.33 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 3.47 1.91–5.03 1.49–5.45 | 6.10 3.10–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.