Ligue 1·Regular Season - 13·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.992.913.90safe0.02–1.962.06–3.772.08–5.72safer0.00–2.211.83–4.001.60–6.20
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.497.4910.98safe1.63–5.355.74–9.237.37–14.58safer1.14–5.845.28–9.706.42–15.54
Total shots
96%
homeawaytotalprediction9.3418.9828.32safe5.42–13.2715.42–22.5420.84–35.81safer4.33–14.3614.46–23.5018.79–37.86
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction6.2613.6819.94safe3.32–9.2011.00–16.3714.32–25.57safer2.49–10.0310.27–17.1012.75–27.13
Blocked shots
80%
homeawaytotalprediction2.505.347.84safe0.62–4.383.69–7.004.31–11.38safer0.07–4.923.20–7.493.27–12.41
Corners
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.576.379.94safe1.36–5.784.37–8.375.73–14.16safer0.78–6.363.84–8.904.62–15.26
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction31.3369.68safe24.54–38.1262.90–76.47safer22.87–39.7961.22–78.14
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3577511108safe289–424685–817974–1241safer271–442667–835938–1277
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction66.5985.43safe62.57–70.6281.11–89.76safer61.27–71.9279.80–91.07
Fouls
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction11.698.8220.51safe8.85–14.525.88–11.7714.72–26.29safer8.09–15.285.13–12.5113.22–27.79
Offsides
48%
19%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.411.994.41safe1.25–3.570.90–3.092.15–6.66safer0.95–3.880.61–3.371.56–7.25
Yellow cards
52%
25%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.620.992.61safe0.57–2.670.00–2.120.43–4.79safer0.31–2.940.00–2.410.00–5.35
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.060.14safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.390.00–0.380.00–0.77
GK saves
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.732.367.09safe3.30–6.170.81–3.924.10–10.09safer2.91–6.560.38–4.343.29–10.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.99 0.02–1.96 0.00–2.21 | 2.91 2.06–3.77 1.83–4.00 | 3.90 2.08–5.72 1.60–6.20 | 14% 77% |
| Shots on target | 3.49 1.63–5.35 1.14–5.84 | 7.49 5.74–9.23 5.28–9.70 | 10.98 7.37–14.58 6.42–15.54 | 86% |
| Total shots | 9.34 5.42–13.27 4.33–14.36 | 18.98 15.42–22.54 14.46–23.50 | 28.32 20.84–35.81 18.79–37.86 | 96% |
| Shots in box | 6.26 3.32–9.20 2.49–10.03 | 13.68 11.00–16.37 10.27–17.10 | 19.94 14.32–25.57 12.75–27.13 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 2.50 0.62–4.38 0.07–4.92 | 5.34 3.69–7.00 3.20–7.49 | 7.84 4.31–11.38 3.27–12.41 | 80% |
| Corners | 3.57 1.36–5.78 0.78–6.36 | 6.37 4.37–8.37 3.84–8.90 | 9.94 5.73–14.16 4.62–15.26 | 14% 77% |
| Possession % | 31.33 24.54–38.12 22.87–39.79 | 69.68 62.90–76.47 61.22–78.14 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 357 289–424 271–442 | 751 685–817 667–835 | 1108 974–1241 938–1277 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.59 62.57–70.62 61.27–71.92 | 85.43 81.11–89.76 79.80–91.07 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 11.69 8.85–14.52 8.09–15.28 | 8.82 5.88–11.77 5.13–12.51 | 20.51 14.72–26.29 13.22–27.79 | 70% 23% |
| Offsides | 2.41 1.25–3.57 0.95–3.88 | 1.99 0.90–3.09 0.61–3.37 | 4.41 2.15–6.66 1.56–7.25 | 48% 19% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.31–2.94 | 0.99 0.00–2.12 0.00–2.41 | 2.61 0.43–4.79 0.00–5.35 | 52% 25% 23% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 4.73 3.30–6.17 2.91–6.56 | 2.36 0.81–3.92 0.38–4.34 | 7.09 4.10–10.09 3.29–10.90 | 76% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.