Ligue 1·Regular Season - 13·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
20%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction0.902.092.99safe0.00–1.871.24–2.941.17–4.81safer0.00–2.121.01–3.170.69–5.29
Shots on target
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction3.165.808.96safe1.30–5.024.06–7.545.35–12.56safer0.81–5.513.59–8.014.40–13.52
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6016.0926.69safe6.67–14.5212.53–19.6619.20–34.18safer5.58–15.6111.57–20.6217.15–36.23
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction6.2411.3217.55safe3.29–9.188.64–14.0011.93–23.17safer2.46–10.017.90–14.7310.36–24.74
Blocked shots
22%
13%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.724.287.00safe0.84–4.602.63–5.933.47–10.54safer0.30–5.152.13–6.422.43–11.57
Corners
22%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction4.206.1610.36safe1.98–6.414.16–8.166.15–14.58safer1.41–6.993.63–8.705.04–15.68
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.3065.29safe27.51–41.0958.50–72.07safer25.84–42.7656.83–73.74
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction301574876safe234–369508–641742–1009safer216–387490–658706–1045
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction60.2077.01safe56.17–64.2372.69–81.33safer54.88–65.5271.38–82.64
Fouls
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0311.7024.72safe10.19–15.878.75–14.6418.94–30.51safer9.43–16.628.00–15.3917.44–32.01
Offsides
32%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.173.93safe0.60–2.921.08–3.261.68–6.19safer0.30–3.230.79–3.551.09–6.78
Yellow cards
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.673.65safe0.93–3.030.54–2.801.47–5.83safer0.66–3.290.25–3.090.92–6.39
Red cards
13%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.150.080.24safe0.00–0.310.00–0.270.00–0.58safer0.00–0.460.00–0.400.00–0.87
GK saves
62%
14%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.762.506.27safe2.33–5.200.95–4.063.27–9.26safer1.94–5.590.52–4.482.46–10.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.90 0.00–1.87 0.00–2.12 | 2.09 1.24–2.94 1.01–3.17 | 2.99 1.17–4.81 0.69–5.29 | 15% 20% 65% |
| Shots on target | 3.16 1.30–5.02 0.81–5.51 | 5.80 4.06–7.54 3.59–8.01 | 8.96 5.35–12.56 4.40–13.52 | 14% 76% |
| Total shots | 10.60 6.67–14.52 5.58–15.61 | 16.09 12.53–19.66 11.57–20.62 | 26.69 19.20–34.18 17.15–36.23 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 6.24 3.29–9.18 2.46–10.01 | 11.32 8.64–14.00 7.90–14.73 | 17.55 11.93–23.17 10.36–24.74 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 2.72 0.84–4.60 0.30–5.15 | 4.28 2.63–5.93 2.13–6.42 | 7.00 3.47–10.54 2.43–11.57 | 22% 13% 65% |
| Corners | 4.20 1.98–6.41 1.41–6.99 | 6.16 4.16–8.16 3.63–8.70 | 10.36 6.15–14.58 5.04–15.68 | 22% 68% |
| Possession % | 34.30 27.51–41.09 25.84–42.76 | 65.29 58.50–72.07 56.83–73.74 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 301 234–369 216–387 | 574 508–641 490–658 | 876 742–1009 706–1045 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.20 56.17–64.23 54.88–65.52 | 77.01 72.69–81.33 71.38–82.64 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 13.03 10.19–15.87 9.43–16.62 | 11.70 8.75–14.64 8.00–15.39 | 24.72 18.94–30.51 17.44–32.01 | 57% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.23 | 2.17 1.08–3.26 0.79–3.55 | 3.93 1.68–6.19 1.09–6.78 | 32% 21% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.03 0.66–3.29 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.15 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.46 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.24 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.87 | 13% 80% |
| GK saves | 3.76 2.33–5.20 1.94–5.59 | 2.50 0.95–4.06 0.52–4.48 | 6.27 3.27–9.26 2.46–10.07 | 62% 14% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.