Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
26%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.321.332.65safe0.35–2.290.48–2.190.83–4.47safer0.10–2.540.25–2.410.35–4.95
Shots on target
48%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.734.349.07safe2.87–6.592.60–6.085.47–12.68safer2.38–7.082.13–6.554.51–13.63
Total shots
70%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3011.2025.51safe10.38–18.237.64–14.7718.02–32.99safer9.29–19.326.68–15.7215.97–35.05
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.297.7016.99safe6.35–12.235.02–10.3811.36–22.61safer5.52–13.064.28–11.129.80–24.18
Blocked shots
49%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.613.156.76safe1.73–5.491.49–4.803.22–10.29safer1.18–6.031.00–5.292.19–11.33
Corners
57%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.614.5110.12safe3.39–7.822.51–6.515.91–14.33safer2.82–8.391.98–7.054.80–15.44
Possession %
35%
61%
homeawayprediction47.5753.10safe40.78–54.3646.31–59.88safer39.11–56.0344.64–61.55
Passes
34%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction419469888safe351–486402–535754–1021safer333–504385–553718–1057
Pass accuracy %
26%
69%
homeawayprediction67.7272.14safe63.69–71.7567.82–76.47safer62.40–73.0466.51–77.78
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5512.2624.81safe9.71–15.399.32–15.2119.03–30.59safer8.96–16.148.57–15.9617.53–32.10
Offsides
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.841.743.58safe0.68–3.000.64–2.831.33–5.83safer0.38–3.310.35–3.120.74–6.42
Yellow cards
32%
21%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.023.67safe0.61–2.700.89–3.141.49–5.85safer0.34–2.970.60–3.440.94–6.41
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.843.406.24safe1.40–4.271.85–4.963.25–9.23safer1.01–4.661.42–5.382.44–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 1.33 0.48–2.19 0.25–2.41 | 2.65 0.83–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 37% 26% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.73 2.87–6.59 2.38–7.08 | 4.34 2.60–6.08 2.13–6.55 | 9.07 5.47–12.68 4.51–13.63 | 48% 13% 38% |
| Total shots | 14.30 10.38–18.23 9.29–19.32 | 11.20 7.64–14.77 6.68–15.72 | 25.51 18.02–32.99 15.97–35.05 | 70% 24% |
| Shots in box | 9.29 6.35–12.23 5.52–13.06 | 7.70 5.02–10.38 4.28–11.12 | 16.99 11.36–22.61 9.80–24.18 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 3.61 1.73–5.49 1.18–6.03 | 3.15 1.49–4.80 1.00–5.29 | 6.76 3.22–10.29 2.19–11.33 | 49% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.61 3.39–7.82 2.82–8.39 | 4.51 2.51–6.51 1.98–7.05 | 10.12 5.91–14.33 4.80–15.44 | 57% 31% |
| Possession % | 47.57 40.78–54.36 39.11–56.03 | 53.10 46.31–59.88 44.64–61.55 | — | 35% 61% |
| Passes | 419 351–486 333–504 | 469 402–535 385–553 | 888 754–1021 718–1057 | 34% 66% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.72 63.69–71.75 62.40–73.04 | 72.14 67.82–76.47 66.51–77.78 | — | 26% 69% |
| Fouls | 12.55 9.71–15.39 8.96–16.14 | 12.26 9.32–15.21 8.57–15.96 | 24.81 19.03–30.59 17.53–32.10 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.84 0.68–3.00 0.38–3.31 | 1.74 0.64–2.83 0.35–3.12 | 3.58 1.33–5.83 0.74–6.42 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.70 0.34–2.97 | 2.02 0.89–3.14 0.60–3.44 | 3.67 1.49–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 32% 21% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.40–4.27 1.01–4.66 | 3.40 1.85–4.96 1.42–5.38 | 6.24 3.25–9.23 2.44–10.04 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+