Ligue 1·Regular Season - 14·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
23%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.760.962.71safe0.79–2.720.10–1.810.89–4.54safer0.54–2.970.00–2.040.41–5.02
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.343.348.68safe3.48–7.201.60–5.095.08–12.29safer2.99–7.691.14–5.554.12–13.24
Total shots
86%
homeawaytotalprediction16.3610.3226.68safe12.44–20.296.76–13.8819.19–34.17safer11.34–21.385.80–14.8417.14–36.22
Shots in box
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.696.7817.47safe7.75–13.644.10–9.4611.85–23.09safer6.92–14.473.36–10.2010.28–24.66
Blocked shots
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.842.816.65safe1.96–5.721.15–4.463.11–10.18safer1.41–6.260.66–4.952.07–11.22
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.034.2810.31safe3.82–8.252.28–6.286.10–14.52safer3.25–8.821.74–6.814.99–15.63
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.7942.53safe51.00–64.5835.74–49.31safer49.33–66.2534.07–50.98
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction502354856safe434–569288–421722–990safer416–587270–438687–1025
Pass accuracy %
70%
25%
homeawayprediction69.5364.91safe65.50–73.5660.58–69.23safer64.21–74.8659.28–70.54
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6513.7627.41safe10.81–16.4910.81–16.7021.63–33.19safer10.06–17.2510.06–17.4520.12–34.70
Offsides
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.833.77safe0.78–3.100.73–2.921.51–6.02safer0.48–3.400.44–3.210.92–6.61
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.853.48safe0.57–2.670.72–2.981.30–5.66safer0.31–2.940.43–3.270.74–6.21
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
22%
15%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.303.635.93safe0.86–3.732.07–5.182.93–8.92safer0.47–4.121.65–5.612.12–9.73
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.79–2.72 0.54–2.97 | 0.96 0.10–1.81 0.00–2.04 | 2.71 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 56% 23% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.34 3.48–7.20 2.99–7.69 | 3.34 1.60–5.09 1.14–5.55 | 8.68 5.08–12.29 4.12–13.24 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.36 12.44–20.29 11.34–21.38 | 10.32 6.76–13.88 5.80–14.84 | 26.68 19.19–34.17 17.14–36.22 | 86% |
| Shots in box | 10.69 7.75–13.64 6.92–14.47 | 6.78 4.10–9.46 3.36–10.20 | 17.47 11.85–23.09 10.28–24.66 | 79% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 3.84 1.96–5.72 1.41–6.26 | 2.81 1.15–4.46 0.66–4.95 | 6.65 3.11–10.18 2.07–11.22 | 58% 15% 27% |
| Corners | 6.03 3.82–8.25 3.25–8.82 | 4.28 2.28–6.28 1.74–6.81 | 10.31 6.10–14.52 4.99–15.63 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 57.79 51.00–64.58 49.33–66.25 | 42.53 35.74–49.31 34.07–50.98 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 502 434–569 416–587 | 354 288–421 270–438 | 856 722–990 687–1025 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.53 65.50–73.56 64.21–74.86 | 64.91 60.58–69.23 59.28–70.54 | — | 70% 25% |
| Fouls | 13.65 10.81–16.49 10.06–17.25 | 13.76 10.81–16.70 10.06–17.45 | 27.41 21.63–33.19 20.12–34.70 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.40 | 1.83 0.73–2.92 0.44–3.21 | 3.77 1.51–6.02 0.92–6.61 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.31–2.94 | 1.85 0.72–2.98 0.43–3.27 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.74–6.21 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.86–3.73 0.47–4.12 | 3.63 2.07–5.18 1.65–5.61 | 5.93 2.93–8.92 2.12–9.73 | 22% 15% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.