Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.172.77safe0.63–2.570.32–2.030.95–4.59safer0.38–2.820.09–2.250.47–5.07
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.353.989.33safe3.49–7.212.23–5.725.72–12.93safer3.00–7.701.77–6.194.77–13.89
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction15.2011.2026.39safe11.27–19.127.64–14.7618.91–33.88safer10.18–20.216.68–15.7216.86–35.93
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction9.527.4116.93safe6.58–12.464.73–10.0911.30–22.55safer5.75–13.293.99–10.839.74–24.12
Blocked shots
56%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.993.067.05safe2.11–5.871.40–4.713.51–10.58safer1.56–6.410.91–5.202.48–11.62
Corners
66%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.174.3610.53safe3.95–8.382.36–6.376.32–14.75safer3.38–8.961.83–6.905.21–15.85
Possession %
40%
56%
homeawayprediction48.6152.03safe41.82–55.4045.24–58.81safer40.15–57.0743.57–60.49
Passes
40%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction431462894safe364–498396–529760–1027safer346–516378–546724–1063
Pass accuracy %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction68.4672.36safe64.43–72.4968.04–76.68safer63.14–73.7866.73–77.99
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0513.7525.80safe9.21–14.8810.81–16.7020.01–31.58safer8.45–15.6410.06–17.4418.51–33.08
Offsides
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.883.82safe0.78–3.100.79–2.971.57–6.08safer0.48–3.410.50–3.260.98–6.67
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.053.75safe0.66–2.760.92–3.181.58–5.93safer0.39–3.020.63–3.471.02–6.49
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
30%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.723.516.23safe1.28–4.151.95–5.073.24–9.22safer0.89–4.541.53–5.492.42–10.03
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.63–2.57 0.38–2.82 | 1.17 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.25 | 2.77 0.95–4.59 0.47–5.07 | 47% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.35 3.49–7.21 3.00–7.70 | 3.98 2.23–5.72 1.77–6.19 | 9.33 5.72–12.93 4.77–13.89 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 15.20 11.27–19.12 10.18–20.21 | 11.20 7.64–14.76 6.68–15.72 | 26.39 18.91–33.88 16.86–35.93 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 9.52 6.58–12.46 5.75–13.29 | 7.41 4.73–10.09 3.99–10.83 | 16.93 11.30–22.55 9.74–24.12 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.11–5.87 1.56–6.41 | 3.06 1.40–4.71 0.91–5.20 | 7.05 3.51–10.58 2.48–11.62 | 56% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 6.17 3.95–8.38 3.38–8.96 | 4.36 2.36–6.37 1.83–6.90 | 10.53 6.32–14.75 5.21–15.85 | 66% 24% |
| Possession % | 48.61 41.82–55.40 40.15–57.07 | 52.03 45.24–58.81 43.57–60.49 | — | 40% 56% |
| Passes | 431 364–498 346–516 | 462 396–529 378–546 | 894 760–1027 724–1063 | 40% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.46 64.43–72.49 63.14–73.78 | 72.36 68.04–76.68 66.73–77.99 | — | 29% 67% |
| Fouls | 12.05 9.21–14.88 8.45–15.64 | 13.75 10.81–16.70 10.06–17.44 | 25.80 20.01–31.58 18.51–33.08 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.41 | 1.88 0.79–2.97 0.50–3.26 | 3.82 1.57–6.08 0.98–6.67 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.39–3.02 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.75 1.58–5.93 1.02–6.49 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.28–4.15 0.89–4.54 | 3.51 1.95–5.07 1.53–5.49 | 6.23 3.24–9.22 2.42–10.03 | 30% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.