Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
24%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.121.712.84safe0.16–2.090.86–2.571.02–4.66safer0.00–2.340.63–2.800.54–5.14
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.135.379.50safe2.27–6.003.62–7.115.89–13.10safer1.78–6.483.16–7.574.94–14.06
Total shots
27%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1014.7926.89safe8.17–16.0211.22–18.3519.40–34.37safer7.08–17.1210.27–19.3117.35–36.42
Shots in box
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction7.539.5917.12safe4.58–10.476.91–12.2711.49–22.74safer3.75–11.306.17–13.019.93–24.31
Blocked shots
30%
15%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.967.07safe1.23–4.992.31–5.613.53–10.61safer0.68–5.531.82–6.112.50–11.64
Corners
38%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.635.049.67safe2.41–6.843.04–7.045.45–13.88safer1.84–7.412.51–7.574.35–14.99
Possession %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction43.3056.61safe36.51–50.0949.82–63.39safer34.84–51.7648.15–65.06
Passes
17%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction436551987safe369–503484–617853–1120safer351–521467–635817–1156
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction68.0077.48safe63.97–72.0373.15–81.80safer62.68–73.3271.84–83.11
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4012.1324.53safe9.56–15.249.19–15.0718.75–30.31safer8.81–15.998.44–15.8217.24–31.82
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.823.61safe0.63–2.950.73–2.911.35–5.86safer0.33–3.250.44–3.200.76–6.45
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.813.55safe0.68–2.780.68–2.941.37–5.72safer0.42–3.050.39–3.230.81–6.28
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.742.826.56safe2.30–5.171.26–4.383.57–9.55safer1.91–5.560.84–4.802.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.12 0.16–2.09 0.00–2.34 | 1.71 0.86–2.57 0.63–2.80 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 25% 24% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.13 2.27–6.00 1.78–6.48 | 5.37 3.62–7.11 3.16–7.57 | 9.50 5.89–13.10 4.94–14.06 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 12.10 8.17–16.02 7.08–17.12 | 14.79 11.22–18.35 10.27–19.31 | 26.89 19.40–34.37 17.35–36.42 | 27% 66% |
| Shots in box | 7.53 4.58–10.47 3.75–11.30 | 9.59 6.91–12.27 6.17–13.01 | 17.12 11.49–22.74 9.93–24.31 | 27% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.23–4.99 0.68–5.53 | 3.96 2.31–5.61 1.82–6.11 | 7.07 3.53–10.61 2.50–11.64 | 30% 15% 55% |
| Corners | 4.63 2.41–6.84 1.84–7.41 | 5.04 3.04–7.04 2.51–7.57 | 9.67 5.45–13.88 4.35–14.99 | 38% 49% |
| Possession % | 43.30 36.51–50.09 34.84–51.76 | 56.61 49.82–63.39 48.15–65.06 | — | 20% 77% |
| Passes | 436 369–503 351–521 | 551 484–617 467–635 | 987 853–1120 817–1156 | 17% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.00 63.97–72.03 62.68–73.32 | 77.48 73.15–81.80 71.84–83.11 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 12.40 9.56–15.24 8.81–15.99 | 12.13 9.19–15.07 8.44–15.82 | 24.53 18.75–30.31 17.24–31.82 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.79 0.63–2.95 0.33–3.25 | 1.82 0.73–2.91 0.44–3.20 | 3.61 1.35–5.86 0.76–6.45 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.42–3.05 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.55 1.37–5.72 0.81–6.28 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.74 2.30–5.17 1.91–5.56 | 2.82 1.26–4.38 0.84–4.80 | 6.56 3.57–9.55 2.75–10.36 | 56% 15% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.