Ligue 1·Regular Season - 14·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 14·Predicted match statistics
Goals
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.800.933.73safe1.84–3.770.08–1.781.91–5.56safer1.58–4.020.00–2.011.43–6.04
Shots on target
88%
homeawaytotalprediction7.613.2610.87safe5.75–9.471.52–5.017.27–14.48safer5.26–9.961.05–5.476.31–15.43
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction19.108.4727.57safe15.18–23.024.91–12.0320.08–35.06safer14.08–24.123.95–12.9918.03–37.11
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction12.955.7418.69safe10.01–15.893.06–8.4213.07–24.32safer9.18–16.722.33–9.1611.50–25.88
Blocked shots
82%
homeawaytotalprediction5.202.237.43safe3.32–7.080.57–3.883.89–10.96safer2.77–7.630.08–4.372.85–12.00
Corners
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.482.8010.28safe5.27–9.700.80–4.806.07–14.49safer4.70–10.270.26–5.334.96–15.60
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.6234.67safe58.83–72.4127.89–41.46safer57.16–74.0826.21–43.13
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7284111139safe661–796344–4771005–1273safer643–814327–495969–1308
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction81.8072.22safe77.77–85.8367.89–76.54safer76.48–87.1266.58–77.85
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction8.3511.1219.46safe5.51–11.188.17–14.0613.68–25.25safer4.75–11.947.42–14.8112.18–26.75
Offsides
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.782.063.84safe0.62–2.940.96–3.151.59–6.10safer0.32–3.250.68–3.441.00–6.68
Yellow cards
22%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.141.953.10safe0.09–2.190.82–3.080.92–5.27safer0.00–2.460.53–3.370.36–5.83
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
13%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.304.727.02safe0.87–3.743.16–6.274.03–10.01safer0.48–4.132.74–6.703.21–10.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.80 1.84–3.77 1.58–4.02 | 0.93 0.08–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 3.73 1.91–5.56 1.43–6.04 | 76% 14% |
| Shots on target | 7.61 5.75–9.47 5.26–9.96 | 3.26 1.52–5.01 1.05–5.47 | 10.87 7.27–14.48 6.31–15.43 | 88% |
| Total shots | 19.10 15.18–23.02 14.08–24.12 | 8.47 4.91–12.03 3.95–12.99 | 27.57 20.08–35.06 18.03–37.11 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 12.95 10.01–15.89 9.18–16.72 | 5.74 3.06–8.42 2.33–9.16 | 18.69 13.07–24.32 11.50–25.88 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 5.20 3.32–7.08 2.77–7.63 | 2.23 0.57–3.88 0.08–4.37 | 7.43 3.89–10.96 2.85–12.00 | 82% |
| Corners | 7.48 5.27–9.70 4.70–10.27 | 2.80 0.80–4.80 0.26–5.33 | 10.28 6.07–14.49 4.96–15.60 | 91% |
| Possession % | 65.62 58.83–72.41 57.16–74.08 | 34.67 27.89–41.46 26.21–43.13 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 728 661–796 643–814 | 411 344–477 327–495 | 1139 1005–1273 969–1308 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.80 77.77–85.83 76.48–87.12 | 72.22 67.89–76.54 66.58–77.85 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 8.35 5.51–11.18 4.75–11.94 | 11.12 8.17–14.06 7.42–14.81 | 19.46 13.68–25.25 12.18–26.75 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.25 | 2.06 0.96–3.15 0.68–3.44 | 3.84 1.59–6.10 1.00–6.68 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.14 0.09–2.19 0.00–2.46 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.10 0.92–5.27 0.36–5.83 | 22% 22% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.30 0.87–3.74 0.48–4.13 | 4.72 3.16–6.27 2.74–6.70 | 7.02 4.03–10.01 3.21–10.82 | 13% 77% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.