Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
25%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.342.86safe0.55–2.490.48–2.191.03–4.68safer0.30–2.740.26–2.420.55–5.16
Shots on target
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.204.429.62safe3.34–7.072.68–6.166.02–13.23safer2.85–7.562.21–6.635.06–14.18
Total shots
82%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2811.0727.35safe12.36–20.217.51–14.6319.87–34.84safer11.26–21.306.55–15.5917.81–36.89
Shots in box
65%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction10.137.9518.08safe7.19–13.075.27–10.6312.46–23.70safer6.36–13.904.53–11.3710.89–25.27
Blocked shots
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.522.897.42safe2.64–6.411.24–4.553.88–10.95safer2.10–6.950.75–5.042.85–11.99
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.814.4810.28safe3.59–8.022.48–6.486.07–14.50safer3.02–8.591.94–7.014.96–15.60
Possession %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction51.2848.91safe44.49–58.0742.13–55.70safer42.82–59.7440.45–57.37
Passes
60%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction492461953safe424–559395–528819–1087safer406–577377–545784–1122
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction72.1772.25safe68.14–76.2067.93–76.58safer66.85–77.4966.62–77.88
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9512.3723.32safe8.11–13.789.43–15.3217.54–29.10safer7.35–14.548.68–16.0616.03–30.60
Offsides
38%
23%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.643.27safe0.48–2.800.54–2.731.02–5.53safer0.17–3.100.26–3.020.43–6.12
Yellow cards
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.203.89safe0.63–2.731.08–3.331.71–6.07safer0.37–3.000.78–3.631.15–6.62
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.120.21safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.56safer0.00–0.400.00–0.440.00–0.84
GK saves
33%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.873.496.36safe1.44–4.311.93–5.043.37–9.35safer1.05–4.701.51–5.472.55–10.16
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.52 0.55–2.49 0.30–2.74 | 1.34 0.48–2.19 0.26–2.42 | 2.86 1.03–4.68 0.55–5.16 | 42% 25% 34% |
| Shots on target | 5.20 3.34–7.07 2.85–7.56 | 4.42 2.68–6.16 2.21–6.63 | 9.62 6.02–13.23 5.06–14.18 | 54% 34% |
| Total shots | 16.28 12.36–20.21 11.26–21.30 | 11.07 7.51–14.63 6.55–15.59 | 27.35 19.87–34.84 17.81–36.89 | 82% 14% |
| Shots in box | 10.13 7.19–13.07 6.36–13.90 | 7.95 5.27–10.63 4.53–11.37 | 18.08 12.46–23.70 10.89–25.27 | 65% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.52 2.64–6.41 2.10–6.95 | 2.89 1.24–4.55 0.75–5.04 | 7.42 3.88–10.95 2.85–11.99 | 66% 21% |
| Corners | 5.81 3.59–8.02 3.02–8.59 | 4.48 2.48–6.48 1.94–7.01 | 10.28 6.07–14.50 4.96–15.60 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 51.28 44.49–58.07 42.82–59.74 | 48.91 42.13–55.70 40.45–57.37 | — | 53% 42% |
| Passes | 492 424–559 406–577 | 461 395–528 377–545 | 953 819–1087 784–1122 | 60% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.17 68.14–76.20 66.85–77.49 | 72.25 67.93–76.58 66.62–77.88 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 10.95 8.11–13.78 7.35–14.54 | 12.37 9.43–15.32 8.68–16.06 | 23.32 17.54–29.10 16.03–30.60 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.17–3.10 | 1.64 0.54–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.27 1.02–5.53 0.43–6.12 | 38% 23% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.68 0.63–2.73 0.37–3.00 | 2.20 1.08–3.33 0.78–3.63 | 3.89 1.71–6.07 1.15–6.62 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.44–4.31 1.05–4.70 | 3.49 1.93–5.04 1.51–5.47 | 6.36 3.37–9.35 2.55–10.16 | 33% 16% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+