Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.112.80safe0.73–2.660.25–1.960.98–4.62safer0.47–2.910.02–2.190.50–5.10
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.213.849.05safe3.35–7.072.10–5.595.45–12.66safer2.86–7.561.63–6.054.49–13.61
Total shots
80%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction15.9111.0426.95safe11.99–19.847.48–14.6019.47–34.44safer10.90–20.936.52–15.5617.42–36.49
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.476.8118.28safe8.53–14.414.13–9.4912.66–23.91safer7.70–15.243.40–10.2311.09–25.47
Blocked shots
64%
13%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.362.887.24safe2.48–6.241.23–4.543.71–10.78safer1.94–6.790.74–5.032.67–11.81
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.854.1610.01safe3.64–8.072.16–6.165.80–14.22safer3.07–8.641.62–6.694.69–15.33
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction52.7348.18safe45.94–59.5241.39–54.96safer44.27–61.1939.72–56.63
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction487444931safe420–554377–510797–1064safer402–572360–528761–1100
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction72.1674.18safe68.13–76.1969.85–78.50safer66.84–77.4868.54–79.81
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2511.9923.24safe8.41–14.099.05–14.9417.46–29.02safer7.66–14.848.30–15.6915.96–30.53
Offsides
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.663.56safe0.74–3.060.57–2.751.30–5.81safer0.43–3.360.28–3.040.71–6.40
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.093.76safe0.62–2.720.97–3.221.58–5.94safer0.35–2.980.67–3.511.03–6.50
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
31%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.703.446.13safe1.26–4.131.88–5.003.14–9.13safer0.87–4.521.46–5.422.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.69 0.73–2.66 0.47–2.91 | 1.11 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.19 | 2.80 0.98–4.62 0.50–5.10 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.21 3.35–7.07 2.86–7.56 | 3.84 2.10–5.59 1.63–6.05 | 9.05 5.45–12.66 4.49–13.61 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 15.91 11.99–19.84 10.90–20.93 | 11.04 7.48–14.60 6.52–15.56 | 26.95 19.47–34.44 17.42–36.49 | 80% 15% |
| Shots in box | 11.47 8.53–14.41 7.70–15.24 | 6.81 4.13–9.49 3.40–10.23 | 18.28 12.66–23.91 11.09–25.47 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.36 2.48–6.24 1.94–6.79 | 2.88 1.23–4.54 0.74–5.03 | 7.24 3.71–10.78 2.67–11.81 | 64% 13% 23% |
| Corners | 5.85 3.64–8.07 3.07–8.64 | 4.16 2.16–6.16 1.62–6.69 | 10.01 5.80–14.22 4.69–15.33 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 52.73 45.94–59.52 44.27–61.19 | 48.18 41.39–54.96 39.72–56.63 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 487 420–554 402–572 | 444 377–510 360–528 | 931 797–1064 761–1100 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.16 68.13–76.19 66.84–77.48 | 74.18 69.85–78.50 68.54–79.81 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 11.25 8.41–14.09 7.66–14.84 | 11.99 9.05–14.94 8.30–15.69 | 23.24 17.46–29.02 15.96–30.53 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.43–3.36 | 1.66 0.57–2.75 0.28–3.04 | 3.56 1.30–5.81 0.71–6.40 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.98 | 2.09 0.97–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.76 1.58–5.94 1.03–6.50 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 3.44 1.88–5.00 1.46–5.42 | 6.13 3.14–9.13 2.33–9.94 | 31% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.