Ligue 1·Regular Season - 15·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
26%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.462.64safe0.22–2.150.60–2.310.82–4.47safer0.00–2.410.37–2.540.34–4.95
Shots on target
40%
14%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.304.538.82safe2.43–6.162.78–6.275.22–12.43safer1.94–6.652.32–6.734.26–13.38
Total shots
59%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9713.3028.27safe11.04–18.899.74–16.8620.78–35.76safer9.95–19.988.78–17.8218.73–37.81
Shots in box
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction9.568.6518.21safe6.62–12.505.97–11.3312.59–23.83safer5.79–13.335.23–12.0711.02–25.40
Blocked shots
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.993.917.90safe2.11–5.872.25–5.564.36–11.43safer1.57–6.421.76–6.053.33–12.47
Corners
45%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.064.9910.05safe2.85–7.282.99–6.995.84–14.26safer2.28–7.852.46–7.524.73–15.37
Possession %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction42.9857.74safe36.19–49.7750.95–64.52safer34.52–51.4449.28–66.19
Passes
88%
homeawaytotalprediction376520896safe309–443454–586762–1029safer290–461436–604726–1065
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction64.2575.88safe60.22–68.2871.56–80.21safer58.93–69.5870.25–81.52
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7411.6624.39safe9.90–15.578.71–14.6018.61–30.17safer9.14–16.337.96–15.3517.10–31.68
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.803.67safe0.70–3.030.71–2.891.41–5.92safer0.40–3.330.42–3.180.82–6.51
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.663.53safe0.82–2.920.53–2.791.35–5.71safer0.56–3.190.24–3.080.79–6.27
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.962.885.84safe1.52–4.401.32–4.442.85–8.83safer1.14–4.780.90–4.862.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.15 0.00–2.41 | 1.46 0.60–2.31 0.37–2.54 | 2.64 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 31% 26% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.30 2.43–6.16 1.94–6.65 | 4.53 2.78–6.27 2.32–6.73 | 8.82 5.22–12.43 4.26–13.38 | 40% 14% 46% |
| Total shots | 14.97 11.04–18.89 9.95–19.98 | 13.30 9.74–16.86 8.78–17.82 | 28.27 20.78–35.76 18.73–37.81 | 59% 34% |
| Shots in box | 9.56 6.62–12.50 5.79–13.33 | 8.65 5.97–11.33 5.23–12.07 | 18.21 12.59–23.83 11.02–25.40 | 54% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.11–5.87 1.57–6.42 | 3.91 2.25–5.56 1.76–6.05 | 7.90 4.36–11.43 3.33–12.47 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 5.06 2.85–7.28 2.28–7.85 | 4.99 2.99–6.99 2.46–7.52 | 10.05 5.84–14.26 4.73–15.37 | 45% 43% |
| Possession % | 42.98 36.19–49.77 34.52–51.44 | 57.74 50.95–64.52 49.28–66.19 | — | 18% 79% |
| Passes | 376 309–443 290–461 | 520 454–586 436–604 | 896 762–1029 726–1065 | 88% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.25 60.22–68.28 58.93–69.58 | 75.88 71.56–80.21 70.25–81.52 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 12.74 9.90–15.57 9.14–16.33 | 11.66 8.71–14.60 7.96–15.35 | 24.39 18.61–30.17 17.10–31.68 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.03 0.40–3.33 | 1.80 0.71–2.89 0.42–3.18 | 3.67 1.41–5.92 0.82–6.51 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.56–3.19 | 1.66 0.53–2.79 0.24–3.08 | 3.53 1.35–5.71 0.79–6.27 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.52–4.40 1.14–4.78 | 2.88 1.32–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 5.84 2.85–8.83 2.04–9.65 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.