Predicted match statistics
Goals
19%
20%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.072.113.18safe0.11–2.041.25–2.961.36–5.00safer0.00–2.291.02–3.190.88–5.48
Shots on target
20%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction3.815.939.74safe1.95–5.674.19–7.676.14–13.35safer1.46–6.163.72–8.145.18–14.30
Total shots
19%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1115.1026.21safe7.19–15.0411.54–18.6618.73–33.70safer6.10–16.1310.58–19.6216.68–35.75
Shots in box
13%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.7810.9517.73safe3.84–9.728.27–13.6312.11–23.35safer3.01–10.557.53–14.3710.54–24.92
Blocked shots
22%
13%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.654.186.83safe0.77–4.542.53–5.833.30–10.37safer0.23–5.082.04–6.332.26–11.40
Corners
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.115.599.70safe1.90–6.333.59–7.595.49–13.92safer1.33–6.903.06–8.124.38–15.02
Possession %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction45.2055.10safe38.41–51.9948.32–61.89safer36.74–53.6646.65–63.56
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction424497921safe357–491431–564788–1055safer339–510413–581752–1091
Pass accuracy %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction68.3176.43safe64.28–72.3472.11–80.76safer62.99–73.6370.80–82.07
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0411.2924.33safe10.21–15.888.34–14.2318.55–30.11safer9.45–16.647.60–14.9817.05–31.62
Offsides
30%
20%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.233.95safe0.56–2.881.13–3.321.70–6.20safer0.26–3.190.85–3.611.11–6.79
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.973.88safe0.86–2.960.84–3.101.70–6.06safer0.59–3.220.55–3.391.14–6.62
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.682.666.34safe2.24–5.111.11–4.223.35–9.33safer1.85–5.500.68–4.652.53–10.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.11–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 2.11 1.25–2.96 1.02–3.19 | 3.18 1.36–5.00 0.88–5.48 | 19% 20% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.81 1.95–5.67 1.46–6.16 | 5.93 4.19–7.67 3.72–8.14 | 9.74 6.14–13.35 5.18–14.30 | 20% 70% |
| Total shots | 11.11 7.19–15.04 6.10–16.13 | 15.10 11.54–18.66 10.58–19.62 | 26.21 18.73–33.70 16.68–35.75 | 19% 75% |
| Shots in box | 6.78 3.84–9.72 3.01–10.55 | 10.95 8.27–13.63 7.53–14.37 | 17.73 12.11–23.35 10.54–24.92 | 13% 81% |
| Blocked shots | 2.65 0.77–4.54 0.23–5.08 | 4.18 2.53–5.83 2.04–6.33 | 6.83 3.30–10.37 2.26–11.40 | 22% 13% 65% |
| Corners | 4.11 1.90–6.33 1.33–6.90 | 5.59 3.59–7.59 3.06–8.12 | 9.70 5.49–13.92 4.38–15.02 | 26% 62% |
| Possession % | 45.20 38.41–51.99 36.74–53.66 | 55.10 48.32–61.89 46.65–63.56 | — | 26% 70% |
| Passes | 424 357–491 339–510 | 497 431–564 413–581 | 921 788–1055 752–1091 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.31 64.28–72.34 62.99–73.63 | 76.43 72.11–80.76 70.80–82.07 | — | 13% 84% |
| Fouls | 13.04 10.21–15.88 9.45–16.64 | 11.29 8.34–14.23 7.60–14.98 | 24.33 18.55–30.11 17.05–31.62 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.72 0.56–2.88 0.26–3.19 | 2.23 1.13–3.32 0.85–3.61 | 3.95 1.70–6.20 1.11–6.79 | 30% 20% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.91 0.86–2.96 0.59–3.22 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.88 1.70–6.06 1.14–6.62 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.68 2.24–5.11 1.85–5.50 | 2.66 1.11–4.22 0.68–4.65 | 6.34 3.35–9.33 2.53–10.14 | 58% 15% 27% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.