Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.271.382.65safe0.30–2.240.53–2.240.83–4.47safer0.05–2.490.30–2.460.35–4.95
Shots on target
43%
14%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.184.218.38safe2.31–6.042.46–5.954.78–11.99safer1.82–6.532.00–6.423.82–12.94
Total shots
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7612.0423.80safe7.84–15.698.48–15.6016.31–31.29safer6.74–16.787.52–16.5614.26–33.34
Shots in box
41%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction7.317.6514.95safe4.36–10.254.97–10.339.33–20.58safer3.54–11.084.23–11.077.76–22.14
Blocked shots
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.273.156.43safe1.39–5.161.50–4.812.89–9.96safer0.85–5.701.01–5.301.86–11.00
Corners
44%
13%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.754.729.47safe2.54–6.972.72–6.725.26–13.68safer1.97–7.542.18–7.254.15–14.79
Possession %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction52.2647.69safe45.47–59.0540.90–54.47safer43.80–60.7239.23–56.14
Passes
68%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction481426907safe414–549359–492774–1041safer396–567342–510738–1077
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction68.0070.74safe63.97–72.0366.42–75.06safer62.68–73.3265.11–76.37
Fouls
14%
81%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2315.1125.34safe7.39–13.0712.17–18.0619.56–31.13safer6.64–13.8211.42–18.8118.06–32.63
Offsides
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.643.27safe0.47–2.790.55–2.731.02–5.53safer0.17–3.090.26–3.020.43–6.11
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.422.053.47safe0.37–2.470.92–3.181.29–5.65safer0.11–2.740.63–3.470.73–6.21
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
42%
17%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.932.925.85safe1.49–4.361.37–4.482.86–8.84safer1.10–4.750.94–4.902.05–9.66
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.27 0.30–2.24 0.05–2.49 | 1.38 0.53–2.24 0.30–2.46 | 2.65 0.83–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 34% 26% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.18 2.31–6.04 1.82–6.53 | 4.21 2.46–5.95 2.00–6.42 | 8.38 4.78–11.99 3.82–12.94 | 43% 14% 43% |
| Total shots | 11.76 7.84–15.69 6.74–16.78 | 12.04 8.48–15.60 7.52–16.56 | 23.80 16.31–31.29 14.26–33.34 | 44% 48% |
| Shots in box | 7.31 4.36–10.25 3.54–11.08 | 7.65 4.97–10.33 4.23–11.07 | 14.95 9.33–20.58 7.76–22.14 | 41% 48% |
| Blocked shots | 3.27 1.39–5.16 0.85–5.70 | 3.15 1.50–4.81 1.01–5.30 | 6.43 2.89–9.96 1.86–11.00 | 44% 16% 40% |
| Corners | 4.75 2.54–6.97 1.97–7.54 | 4.72 2.72–6.72 2.18–7.25 | 9.47 5.26–13.68 4.15–14.79 | 44% 13% 43% |
| Possession % | 52.26 45.47–59.05 43.80–60.72 | 47.69 40.90–54.47 39.23–56.14 | — | 58% 37% |
| Passes | 481 414–549 396–567 | 426 359–492 342–510 | 907 774–1041 738–1077 | 68% 32% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.00 63.97–72.03 62.68–73.32 | 70.74 66.42–75.06 65.11–76.37 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 10.23 7.39–13.07 6.64–13.82 | 15.11 12.17–18.06 11.42–18.81 | 25.34 19.56–31.13 18.06–32.63 | 14% 81% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.64 0.55–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.27 1.02–5.53 0.43–6.11 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.47 1.29–5.65 0.73–6.21 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.93 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 2.92 1.37–4.48 0.94–4.90 | 5.85 2.86–8.84 2.05–9.66 | 42% 17% 42% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.