Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
25%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.182.76safe0.62–2.560.32–2.030.94–4.59safer0.37–2.810.09–2.260.46–5.07
Shots on target
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.163.808.96safe3.29–7.022.06–5.545.35–12.56safer2.80–7.511.59–6.014.39–13.52
Total shots
70%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0510.9224.96safe10.12–17.977.35–14.4817.48–32.45safer9.03–19.066.39–15.4415.43–34.50
Shots in box
68%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.146.7215.86safe6.20–12.084.04–9.4010.24–21.49safer5.37–12.913.30–10.148.67–23.05
Blocked shots
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.792.906.69safe1.91–5.671.25–4.563.16–10.23safer1.36–6.210.76–5.052.12–11.26
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.293.929.21safe3.08–7.501.92–5.925.00–13.43safer2.50–8.081.39–6.463.89–14.53
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.2745.42safe47.48–61.0638.63–52.20safer45.81–62.7336.96–53.87
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5474861033safe480–614420–553900–1167safer461–632402–570864–1203
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction75.8375.15safe71.80–79.8670.82–79.47safer70.50–81.1569.52–80.78
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5910.5921.18safe7.75–13.437.65–13.5415.40–26.97safer7.00–14.186.90–14.2913.90–28.47
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.663.26safe0.44–2.760.57–2.761.01–5.52safer0.14–3.060.28–3.040.42–6.11
Yellow cards
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.493.02safe0.48–2.580.36–2.620.84–5.20safer0.21–2.840.07–2.910.28–5.75
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
30%
16%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction2.603.365.96safe1.17–4.041.80–4.922.97–8.96safer0.78–4.431.38–5.342.16–9.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.56 0.37–2.81 | 1.18 0.32–2.03 0.09–2.26 | 2.76 0.94–4.59 0.46–5.07 | 47% 25% 28% |
| Shots on target | 5.16 3.29–7.02 2.80–7.51 | 3.80 2.06–5.54 1.59–6.01 | 8.96 5.35–12.56 4.39–13.52 | 61% 27% |
| Total shots | 14.05 10.12–17.97 9.03–19.06 | 10.92 7.35–14.48 6.39–15.44 | 24.96 17.48–32.45 15.43–34.50 | 70% 23% |
| Shots in box | 9.14 6.20–12.08 5.37–12.91 | 6.72 4.04–9.40 3.30–10.14 | 15.86 10.24–21.49 8.67–23.05 | 68% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.91–5.67 1.36–6.21 | 2.90 1.25–4.56 0.76–5.05 | 6.69 3.16–10.23 2.12–11.26 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 5.29 3.08–7.50 2.50–8.08 | 3.92 1.92–5.92 1.39–6.46 | 9.21 5.00–13.43 3.89–14.53 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 54.27 47.48–61.06 45.81–62.73 | 45.42 38.63–52.20 36.96–53.87 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 547 480–614 461–632 | 486 420–553 402–570 | 1033 900–1167 864–1203 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.83 71.80–79.86 70.50–81.15 | 75.15 70.82–79.47 69.52–80.78 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 10.59 7.75–13.43 7.00–14.18 | 10.59 7.65–13.54 6.90–14.29 | 21.18 15.40–26.97 13.90–28.47 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.14–3.06 | 1.66 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.04 | 3.26 1.01–5.52 0.42–6.11 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.53 0.48–2.58 0.21–2.84 | 1.49 0.36–2.62 0.07–2.91 | 3.02 0.84–5.20 0.28–5.75 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.17–4.04 0.78–4.43 | 3.36 1.80–4.92 1.38–5.34 | 5.96 2.97–8.96 2.16–9.77 | 30% 16% 54% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+