Predicted match statistics
Goals
59%
22%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.880.962.84safe0.91–2.850.11–1.821.02–4.66safer0.66–3.100.00–2.050.54–5.14
Shots on target
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.703.298.99safe3.84–7.561.55–5.045.39–12.60safer3.35–8.051.09–5.504.43–13.55
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction16.1510.3026.46safe12.23–20.086.74–13.8718.97–33.94safer11.14–21.175.78–14.8316.92–35.99
Shots in box
79%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.476.6217.09safe7.53–13.413.94–9.3011.47–22.71safer6.70–14.243.20–10.049.90–24.28
Blocked shots
60%
14%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.022.836.86safe2.14–5.911.18–4.493.32–10.39safer1.60–6.450.69–4.982.29–11.43
Corners
68%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.603.709.30safe3.39–7.821.70–5.705.09–13.51safer2.82–8.391.16–6.233.98–14.62
Possession %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction59.0841.91safe52.29–65.8735.12–48.69safer50.62–67.5433.45–50.36
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction576395971safe508–643329–462837–1105safer490–661311–479802–1140
Pass accuracy %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction72.8669.64safe68.83–76.8965.32–73.96safer67.54–78.1864.01–75.27
Fouls
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1912.7124.90safe9.35–15.039.76–15.6519.11–30.68safer8.59–15.789.02–16.4017.61–32.18
Offsides
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.363.32safe0.79–3.120.27–2.461.07–5.57safer0.49–3.420.00–2.750.48–6.16
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.093.59safe0.45–2.550.96–3.221.41–5.77safer0.19–2.820.67–3.510.86–6.33
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.776.13safe0.93–3.802.21–5.323.14–9.12safer0.54–4.191.79–5.752.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.88 0.91–2.85 0.66–3.10 | 0.96 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.84 1.02–4.66 0.54–5.14 | 59% 22% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.70 3.84–7.56 3.35–8.05 | 3.29 1.55–5.04 1.09–5.50 | 8.99 5.39–12.60 4.43–13.55 | 74% 16% |
| Total shots | 16.15 12.23–20.08 11.14–21.17 | 10.30 6.74–13.87 5.78–14.83 | 26.46 18.97–33.94 16.92–35.99 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 10.47 7.53–13.41 6.70–14.24 | 6.62 3.94–9.30 3.20–10.04 | 17.09 11.47–22.71 9.90–24.28 | 79% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.14–5.91 1.60–6.45 | 2.83 1.18–4.49 0.69–4.98 | 6.86 3.32–10.39 2.29–11.43 | 60% 14% 26% |
| Corners | 5.60 3.39–7.82 2.82–8.39 | 3.70 1.70–5.70 1.16–6.23 | 9.30 5.09–13.51 3.98–14.62 | 68% 21% |
| Possession % | 59.08 52.29–65.87 50.62–67.54 | 41.91 35.12–48.69 33.45–50.36 | — | 83% 14% |
| Passes | 576 508–643 490–661 | 395 329–462 311–479 | 971 837–1105 802–1140 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.86 68.83–76.89 67.54–78.18 | 69.64 65.32–73.96 64.01–75.27 | — | 64% 32% |
| Fouls | 12.19 9.35–15.03 8.59–15.78 | 12.71 9.76–15.65 9.02–16.40 | 24.90 19.11–30.68 17.61–32.18 | 42% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.79–3.12 0.49–3.42 | 1.36 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.32 1.07–5.57 0.48–6.16 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.59 1.41–5.77 0.86–6.33 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 3.77 2.21–5.32 1.79–5.75 | 6.13 3.14–9.12 2.33–9.94 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.