Ligue 1·Regular Season - 15·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
21%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.012.043.05safe0.04–1.981.18–2.891.22–4.87safer0.00–2.230.95–3.120.74–5.35
Shots on target
19%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction3.755.939.69safe1.89–5.614.19–7.686.08–13.29safer1.40–6.103.73–8.145.13–14.25
Total shots
16%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9016.8128.70safe7.97–15.8213.24–20.3721.22–36.19safer6.88–16.9112.28–21.3319.17–38.24
Shots in box
15%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction7.6311.6219.25safe4.68–10.578.94–14.3013.63–24.87safer3.85–11.408.20–15.0412.06–26.44
Blocked shots
25%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.264.617.87safe1.38–5.142.96–6.264.33–11.41safer0.84–5.692.46–6.753.30–12.44
Corners
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.455.8710.32safe2.24–6.663.87–7.876.10–14.53safer1.66–7.243.33–8.405.00–15.64
Possession %
93%
homeawayprediction36.7863.17safe29.98–43.5756.39–69.96safer28.32–45.2454.72–71.63
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction308542849safe241–375475–608716–983safer222–393458–626680–1019
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction59.1774.81safe55.14–63.2070.49–79.13safer53.84–64.4969.18–80.44
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5812.5625.14safe9.74–15.429.61–15.5019.36–30.92safer8.99–16.178.87–16.2517.85–32.43
Offsides
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.622.163.78safe0.46–2.781.07–3.251.53–6.03safer0.16–3.080.78–3.540.94–6.62
Yellow cards
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.683.65safe0.93–3.020.55–2.811.48–5.83safer0.66–3.290.26–3.100.92–6.39
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.090.23safe0.00–0.300.00–0.280.00–0.57safer0.00–0.450.00–0.410.00–0.86
GK saves
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.032.776.80safe2.59–5.471.21–4.323.80–9.79safer2.21–5.850.78–4.752.99–10.60
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.04–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 2.04 1.18–2.89 0.95–3.12 | 3.05 1.22–4.87 0.74–5.35 | 18% 21% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.75 1.89–5.61 1.40–6.10 | 5.93 4.19–7.68 3.73–8.14 | 9.69 6.08–13.29 5.13–14.25 | 19% 71% |
| Total shots | 11.90 7.97–15.82 6.88–16.91 | 16.81 13.24–20.37 12.28–21.33 | 28.70 21.22–36.19 19.17–38.24 | 16% 80% |
| Shots in box | 7.63 4.68–10.57 3.85–11.40 | 11.62 8.94–14.30 8.20–15.04 | 19.25 13.63–24.87 12.06–26.44 | 15% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 3.26 1.38–5.14 0.84–5.69 | 4.61 2.96–6.26 2.46–6.75 | 7.87 4.33–11.41 3.30–12.44 | 25% 62% |
| Corners | 4.45 2.24–6.66 1.66–7.24 | 5.87 3.87–7.87 3.33–8.40 | 10.32 6.10–14.53 5.00–15.64 | 27% 61% |
| Possession % | 36.78 29.98–43.57 28.32–45.24 | 63.17 56.39–69.96 54.72–71.63 | — | 93% |
| Passes | 308 241–375 222–393 | 542 475–608 458–626 | 849 716–983 680–1019 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 59.17 55.14–63.20 53.84–64.49 | 74.81 70.49–79.13 69.18–80.44 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 12.58 9.74–15.42 8.99–16.17 | 12.56 9.61–15.50 8.87–16.25 | 25.14 19.36–30.92 17.85–32.43 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.62 0.46–2.78 0.16–3.08 | 2.16 1.07–3.25 0.78–3.54 | 3.78 1.53–6.03 0.94–6.62 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.98 0.93–3.02 0.66–3.29 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.65 1.48–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.23 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.86 | 81% |
| GK saves | 4.03 2.59–5.47 2.21–5.85 | 2.77 1.21–4.32 0.78–4.75 | 6.80 3.80–9.79 2.99–10.60 | 61% 14% 25% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.