Ligue 1·Regular Season - 15·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 15·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction1.012.723.73safe0.05–1.981.87–3.571.91–5.56safer0.00–2.231.64–3.801.43–6.04
Shots on target
82%
homeawaytotalprediction3.687.1310.81safe1.82–5.545.39–8.887.21–14.42safer1.33–6.034.93–9.346.25–15.37
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction9.2618.4127.66safe5.33–13.1814.84–21.9720.18–35.15safer4.24–14.2713.88–22.9318.13–37.20
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction6.4913.3219.81safe3.55–9.4310.64–16.0014.19–25.43safer2.72–10.269.90–16.7412.62–27.00
Blocked shots
14%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction2.835.318.15safe0.95–4.723.66–6.974.61–11.68safer0.41–5.263.17–7.463.58–12.72
Corners
17%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction3.736.139.86safe1.51–5.944.13–8.135.64–14.07safer0.94–6.513.60–8.664.53–15.18
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction30.2571.47safe23.46–37.0464.69–78.26safer21.79–38.7163.02–79.93
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3397451084safe272–406679–812951–1218safer253–424661–829915–1254
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction65.4085.39safe61.37–69.4381.07–89.72safer60.08–70.7279.76–91.02
Fouls
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction10.569.5620.12safe7.72–13.396.62–12.5114.34–25.90safer6.96–14.155.87–13.2512.83–27.40
Offsides
47%
19%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.432.094.52safe1.27–3.591.00–3.182.26–6.77safer0.97–3.890.71–3.471.67–7.36
Yellow cards
48%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.142.76safe0.57–2.660.02–2.270.58–4.94safer0.30–2.930.00–2.560.02–5.49
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.14safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.49safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
70%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.272.396.66safe2.84–5.710.83–3.943.67–9.65safer2.45–6.100.40–4.372.85–10.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.01 0.05–1.98 0.00–2.23 | 2.72 1.87–3.57 1.64–3.80 | 3.73 1.91–5.56 1.43–6.04 | 15% 73% |
| Shots on target | 3.68 1.82–5.54 1.33–6.03 | 7.13 5.39–8.88 4.93–9.34 | 10.81 7.21–14.42 6.25–15.37 | 82% |
| Total shots | 9.26 5.33–13.18 4.24–14.27 | 18.41 14.84–21.97 13.88–22.93 | 27.66 20.18–35.15 18.13–37.20 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 6.49 3.55–9.43 2.72–10.26 | 13.32 10.64–16.00 9.90–16.74 | 19.81 14.19–25.43 12.62–27.00 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 2.83 0.95–4.72 0.41–5.26 | 5.31 3.66–6.97 3.17–7.46 | 8.15 4.61–11.68 3.58–12.72 | 14% 76% |
| Corners | 3.73 1.51–5.94 0.94–6.51 | 6.13 4.13–8.13 3.60–8.66 | 9.86 5.64–14.07 4.53–15.18 | 17% 73% |
| Possession % | 30.25 23.46–37.04 21.79–38.71 | 71.47 64.69–78.26 63.02–79.93 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 339 272–406 253–424 | 745 679–812 661–829 | 1084 951–1218 915–1254 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.40 61.37–69.43 60.08–70.72 | 85.39 81.07–89.72 79.76–91.02 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 10.56 7.72–13.39 6.96–14.15 | 9.56 6.62–12.51 5.87–13.25 | 20.12 14.34–25.90 12.83–27.40 | 54% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.43 1.27–3.59 0.97–3.89 | 2.09 1.00–3.18 0.71–3.47 | 4.52 2.26–6.77 1.67–7.36 | 47% 19% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.66 0.30–2.93 | 1.14 0.02–2.27 0.00–2.56 | 2.76 0.58–4.94 0.02–5.49 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 4.27 2.84–5.71 2.45–6.10 | 2.39 0.83–3.94 0.40–4.37 | 6.66 3.67–9.65 2.85–10.46 | 70% 17% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+