Ligue 1·Regular Season - 16·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.943.013.94safe0.00–1.912.15–3.862.12–5.77safer0.00–2.161.92–4.091.64–6.25
Shots on target
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.477.4510.93safe1.61–5.345.71–9.207.32–14.53safer1.12–5.825.25–9.666.37–15.49
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8019.0128.81safe5.87–13.7215.45–22.5821.33–36.30safer4.78–14.8214.49–23.5419.27–38.35
Shots in box
93%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5213.6320.14safe3.57–9.4610.95–16.3114.52–25.77safer2.74–10.2910.21–17.0512.95–27.33
Blocked shots
15%
74%
homeawaytotalprediction2.915.298.20safe1.03–4.793.64–6.954.67–11.74safer0.49–5.343.15–7.443.63–12.78
Corners
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction3.676.5610.24safe1.46–5.894.56–8.566.02–14.45safer0.89–6.464.03–9.104.92–15.56
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction30.7070.85safe23.91–37.4964.06–77.63safer22.24–39.1662.39–79.30
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3367221058safe269–403655–788924–1191safer250–421638–806888–1227
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction64.5884.74safe60.55–68.6180.42–89.06safer59.26–69.9079.11–90.37
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction10.989.4720.45safe8.14–13.826.53–12.4214.67–26.23safer7.38–14.575.78–13.1713.17–27.74
Offsides
39%
19%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.212.284.49safe1.05–3.371.18–3.372.24–6.74safer0.75–3.670.90–3.661.65–7.33
Yellow cards
45%
24%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.621.312.93safe0.57–2.670.18–2.440.75–5.11safer0.31–2.940.00–2.730.20–5.67
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.070.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.390.00–0.79
GK saves
76%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction4.742.387.12safe3.30–6.180.82–3.944.13–10.11safer2.92–6.560.40–4.363.31–10.92
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.94 0.00–1.91 0.00–2.16 | 3.01 2.15–3.86 1.92–4.09 | 3.94 2.12–5.77 1.64–6.25 | 79% |
| Shots on target | 3.47 1.61–5.34 1.12–5.82 | 7.45 5.71–9.20 5.25–9.66 | 10.93 7.32–14.53 6.37–15.49 | 86% |
| Total shots | 9.80 5.87–13.72 4.78–14.82 | 19.01 15.45–22.58 14.49–23.54 | 28.81 21.33–36.30 19.27–38.35 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 6.52 3.57–9.46 2.74–10.29 | 13.63 10.95–16.31 10.21–17.05 | 20.14 14.52–25.77 12.95–27.33 | 93% |
| Blocked shots | 2.91 1.03–4.79 0.49–5.34 | 5.29 3.64–6.95 3.15–7.44 | 8.20 4.67–11.74 3.63–12.78 | 15% 74% |
| Corners | 3.67 1.46–5.89 0.89–6.46 | 6.56 4.56–8.56 4.03–9.10 | 10.24 6.02–14.45 4.92–15.56 | 14% 77% |
| Possession % | 30.70 23.91–37.49 22.24–39.16 | 70.85 64.06–77.63 62.39–79.30 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 336 269–403 250–421 | 722 655–788 638–806 | 1058 924–1191 888–1227 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.58 60.55–68.61 59.26–69.90 | 84.74 80.42–89.06 79.11–90.37 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 10.98 8.14–13.82 7.38–14.57 | 9.47 6.53–12.42 5.78–13.17 | 20.45 14.67–26.23 13.17–27.74 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 2.21 1.05–3.37 0.75–3.67 | 2.28 1.18–3.37 0.90–3.66 | 4.49 2.24–6.74 1.65–7.33 | 39% 19% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.62 0.57–2.67 0.31–2.94 | 1.31 0.18–2.44 0.00–2.73 | 2.93 0.75–5.11 0.20–5.67 | 45% 24% 31% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 4.74 3.30–6.18 2.92–6.56 | 2.38 0.82–3.94 0.40–4.36 | 7.12 4.13–10.11 3.31–10.92 | 76% 14% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.