Predicted match statistics
Goals
63%
21%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction1.980.902.88safe1.01–2.950.04–1.751.05–4.70safer0.76–3.200.00–1.980.57–5.18
Shots on target
77%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction5.663.048.69safe3.80–7.521.29–4.785.09–12.30safer3.31–8.010.83–5.244.13–13.25
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction16.658.0124.66safe12.73–20.574.44–11.5717.17–32.14safer11.63–21.673.48–12.5315.12–34.19
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction11.685.3917.08safe8.74–14.632.71–8.0811.45–22.70safer7.91–15.451.98–8.819.89–24.27
Blocked shots
78%
homeawaytotalprediction4.522.056.57safe2.64–6.400.40–3.713.04–10.11safer2.09–6.940.00–4.202.00–11.14
Corners
79%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction6.423.449.86safe4.21–8.631.44–5.445.65–14.08safer3.63–9.210.91–5.974.54–15.18
Possession %
83%
15%
homeawayprediction58.2241.37safe51.43–65.0134.58–48.15safer49.76–66.6832.91–49.83
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction567395962safe500–634328–461828–1095safer482–652311–479792–1131
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction76.9571.02safe72.92–80.9866.69–75.34safer71.63–82.2765.38–76.65
Fouls
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3911.6224.01safe9.55–15.238.67–14.5618.23–29.79safer8.80–15.987.93–15.3116.72–31.30
Offsides
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.513.40safe0.73–3.050.41–2.601.14–5.65safer0.43–3.350.13–2.890.55–6.24
Yellow cards
27%
23%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.833.14safe0.25–2.350.70–2.960.96–5.31safer0.00–2.620.41–3.250.40–5.87
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
19%
14%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.183.815.99safe0.74–3.622.26–5.373.00–8.99safer0.36–4.001.83–5.802.19–9.80
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.98 1.01–2.95 0.76–3.20 | 0.90 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 2.88 1.05–4.70 0.57–5.18 | 63% 21% 16% |
| Shots on target | 5.66 3.80–7.52 3.31–8.01 | 3.04 1.29–4.78 0.83–5.24 | 8.69 5.09–12.30 4.13–13.25 | 77% 14% |
| Total shots | 16.65 12.73–20.57 11.63–21.67 | 8.01 4.44–11.57 3.48–12.53 | 24.66 17.17–32.14 15.12–34.19 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 11.68 8.74–14.63 7.91–15.45 | 5.39 2.71–8.08 1.98–8.81 | 17.08 11.45–22.70 9.89–24.27 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 4.52 2.64–6.40 2.09–6.94 | 2.05 0.40–3.71 0.00–4.20 | 6.57 3.04–10.11 2.00–11.14 | 78% |
| Corners | 6.42 4.21–8.63 3.63–9.21 | 3.44 1.44–5.44 0.91–5.97 | 9.86 5.65–14.08 4.54–15.18 | 79% 13% |
| Possession % | 58.22 51.43–65.01 49.76–66.68 | 41.37 34.58–48.15 32.91–49.83 | — | 83% 15% |
| Passes | 567 500–634 482–652 | 395 328–461 311–479 | 962 828–1095 792–1131 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.95 72.92–80.98 71.63–82.27 | 71.02 66.69–75.34 65.38–76.65 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 12.39 9.55–15.23 8.80–15.98 | 11.62 8.67–14.56 7.93–15.31 | 24.01 18.23–29.79 16.72–31.30 | 52% 40% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.73–3.05 0.43–3.35 | 1.51 0.41–2.60 0.13–2.89 | 3.40 1.14–5.65 0.55–6.24 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.30 0.25–2.35 0.00–2.62 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.14 0.96–5.31 0.40–5.87 | 27% 23% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.18 0.74–3.62 0.36–4.00 | 3.81 2.26–5.37 1.83–5.80 | 5.99 3.00–8.99 2.19–9.80 | 19% 14% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.