Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
25%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.381.472.85safe0.42–2.350.61–2.321.03–4.67safer0.16–2.600.38–2.550.55–5.15
Shots on target
41%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction5.065.2910.36safe3.20–6.933.55–7.046.75–13.96safer2.71–7.413.09–7.505.80–14.92
Total shots
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8813.2928.18safe10.96–18.819.73–16.8520.69–35.66safer9.87–19.908.77–17.8118.64–37.71
Shots in box
46%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.938.8017.74safe5.99–11.886.12–11.4812.11–23.36safer5.16–12.715.38–12.2210.55–24.93
Blocked shots
45%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.023.857.87safe2.14–5.902.20–5.504.33–11.40safer1.59–6.451.70–5.993.30–12.44
Corners
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.424.339.75safe3.21–7.632.33–6.335.53–13.96safer2.63–8.211.80–6.864.43–15.07
Possession %
48%
48%
homeawayprediction49.8549.80safe43.06–56.6443.01–56.58safer41.39–58.3141.34–58.25
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction5174931011safe450–585427–560877–1144safer432–603409–577841–1180
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction71.3374.45safe67.30–75.3670.13–78.78safer66.01–76.6668.82–80.08
Fouls
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7810.8323.61safe9.94–15.627.88–13.7717.83–29.39safer9.19–16.377.14–14.5216.32–30.90
Offsides
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.683.58safe0.75–3.070.58–2.771.33–5.84safer0.45–3.370.29–3.060.74–6.43
Yellow cards
33%
22%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.943.60safe0.60–2.700.81–3.071.42–5.77safer0.34–2.970.52–3.360.86–6.33
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.273.586.85safe1.83–4.702.03–5.143.86–9.84safer1.44–5.091.60–5.563.04–10.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.38 0.42–2.35 0.16–2.60 | 1.47 0.61–2.32 0.38–2.55 | 2.85 1.03–4.67 0.55–5.15 | 36% 25% 39% |
| Shots on target | 5.06 3.20–6.93 2.71–7.41 | 5.29 3.55–7.04 3.09–7.50 | 10.36 6.75–13.96 5.80–14.92 | 41% 47% |
| Total shots | 14.88 10.96–18.81 9.87–19.90 | 13.29 9.73–16.85 8.77–17.81 | 28.18 20.69–35.66 18.64–37.71 | 58% 35% |
| Shots in box | 8.93 5.99–11.88 5.16–12.71 | 8.80 6.12–11.48 5.38–12.22 | 17.74 12.11–23.36 10.55–24.93 | 46% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 4.02 2.14–5.90 1.59–6.45 | 3.85 2.20–5.50 1.70–5.99 | 7.87 4.33–11.40 3.30–12.44 | 45% 14% 40% |
| Corners | 5.42 3.21–7.63 2.63–8.21 | 4.33 2.33–6.33 1.80–6.86 | 9.75 5.53–13.96 4.43–15.07 | 57% 30% |
| Possession % | 49.85 43.06–56.64 41.39–58.31 | 49.80 43.01–56.58 41.34–58.25 | — | 48% 48% |
| Passes | 517 450–585 432–603 | 493 427–560 409–577 | 1011 877–1144 841–1180 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.33 67.30–75.36 66.01–76.66 | 74.45 70.13–78.78 68.82–80.08 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 12.78 9.94–15.62 9.19–16.37 | 10.83 7.88–13.77 7.14–14.52 | 23.61 17.83–29.39 16.32–30.90 | 62% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.45–3.37 | 1.68 0.58–2.77 0.29–3.06 | 3.58 1.33–5.84 0.74–6.43 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.65 0.60–2.70 0.34–2.97 | 1.94 0.81–3.07 0.52–3.36 | 3.60 1.42–5.77 0.86–6.33 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.27 1.83–4.70 1.44–5.09 | 3.58 2.03–5.14 1.60–5.56 | 6.85 3.86–9.84 3.04–10.65 | 38% 15% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.