Ligue 1·Regular Season - 16·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 16·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
26%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.531.082.60safe0.56–2.490.22–1.930.78–4.43safer0.31–2.750.00–2.160.30–4.91
Shots on target
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction4.954.089.03safe3.09–6.812.34–5.825.42–12.63safer2.60–7.301.87–6.294.47–13.59
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8412.0625.90safe9.92–17.778.49–15.6218.41–33.38safer8.83–18.867.53–16.5816.36–35.44
Shots in box
54%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction8.557.6516.20safe5.61–11.494.97–10.3310.58–21.83safer4.78–12.324.23–11.079.01–23.39
Blocked shots
52%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.582.926.50safe1.70–5.471.27–4.572.97–10.04safer1.16–6.010.78–5.071.93–11.08
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.724.139.85safe3.51–7.932.13–6.135.63–14.06safer2.93–8.511.60–6.664.53–15.17
Possession %
87%
homeawayprediction60.9640.50safe54.17–67.7533.72–47.29safer52.50–69.4232.05–48.96
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction584389973safe517–651322–455839–1107safer499–670305–473804–1142
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction75.2170.12safe71.18–79.2465.80–74.45safer69.89–80.5364.49–75.76
Fouls
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0612.1624.22safe9.22–14.899.21–15.1018.43–30.00safer8.46–15.658.46–15.8516.93–31.50
Offsides
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.911.553.46safe0.75–3.070.46–2.641.21–5.72safer0.45–3.380.17–2.930.62–6.31
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.823.40safe0.53–2.630.69–2.951.22–5.58safer0.27–2.900.40–3.240.66–6.14
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.326.15safe1.39–4.261.77–4.883.15–9.14safer1.00–4.651.34–5.302.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.53 0.56–2.49 0.31–2.75 | 1.08 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.60 0.78–4.43 0.30–4.91 | 48% 26% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.95 3.09–6.81 2.60–7.30 | 4.08 2.34–5.82 1.87–6.29 | 9.03 5.42–12.63 4.47–13.59 | 55% 32% |
| Total shots | 13.84 9.92–17.77 8.83–18.86 | 12.06 8.49–15.62 7.53–16.58 | 25.90 18.41–33.38 16.36–35.44 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 8.55 5.61–11.49 4.78–12.32 | 7.65 4.97–10.33 4.23–11.07 | 16.20 10.58–21.83 9.01–23.39 | 54% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 3.58 1.70–5.47 1.16–6.01 | 2.92 1.27–4.57 0.78–5.07 | 6.50 2.97–10.04 1.93–11.08 | 52% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.72 3.51–7.93 2.93–8.51 | 4.13 2.13–6.13 1.60–6.66 | 9.85 5.63–14.06 4.53–15.17 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 60.96 54.17–67.75 52.50–69.42 | 40.50 33.72–47.29 32.05–48.96 | — | 87% |
| Passes | 584 517–651 499–670 | 389 322–455 305–473 | 973 839–1107 804–1142 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.21 71.18–79.24 69.89–80.53 | 70.12 65.80–74.45 64.49–75.76 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 12.06 9.22–14.89 8.46–15.65 | 12.16 9.21–15.10 8.46–15.85 | 24.22 18.43–30.00 16.93–31.50 | 45% 47% |
| Offsides | 1.91 0.75–3.07 0.45–3.38 | 1.55 0.46–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 3.46 1.21–5.72 0.62–6.31 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.27–2.90 | 1.82 0.69–2.95 0.40–3.24 | 3.40 1.22–5.58 0.66–6.14 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 3.32 1.77–4.88 1.34–5.30 | 6.15 3.15–9.14 2.34–9.95 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.