Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.112.98safe0.90–2.840.26–1.971.16–4.81safer0.65–3.090.03–2.190.68–5.29
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.903.709.60safe4.04–7.771.95–5.445.99–13.20safer3.55–8.261.49–5.905.04–14.16
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6210.1726.79safe12.69–20.546.61–13.7419.31–34.28safer11.60–21.645.65–14.7017.26–36.33
Shots in box
82%
homeawaytotalprediction11.146.8217.95safe8.19–14.084.14–9.5012.33–23.58safer7.36–14.913.40–10.2410.76–25.14
Blocked shots
66%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.082.516.59safe2.20–5.960.86–4.163.06–10.13safer1.66–6.510.37–4.662.02–11.16
Corners
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.963.809.75safe3.74–8.171.80–5.805.54–13.97safer3.17–8.741.26–6.334.43–15.07
Possession %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction56.8443.89safe50.05–63.6337.10–50.67safer48.38–65.3035.43–52.34
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction5654501015safe498–632384–517882–1149safer480–651366–534846–1185
Pass accuracy %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction72.5072.52safe68.47–76.5368.20–76.85safer67.18–77.8266.89–78.15
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6812.8124.48safe8.84–14.519.86–15.7518.70–30.27safer8.08–15.279.12–16.5017.20–31.77
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.403.21safe0.64–2.960.31–2.500.95–5.46safer0.34–3.260.02–2.790.36–6.05
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.602.043.64safe0.56–2.650.91–3.171.47–5.82safer0.29–2.920.62–3.460.91–6.38
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
21%
13%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.494.076.56safe1.06–3.932.51–5.623.57–9.55safer0.67–4.322.09–6.052.76–10.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.87 0.90–2.84 0.65–3.09 | 1.11 0.26–1.97 0.03–2.19 | 2.98 1.16–4.81 0.68–5.29 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.90 4.04–7.77 3.55–8.26 | 3.70 1.95–5.44 1.49–5.90 | 9.60 5.99–13.20 5.04–14.16 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.62 12.69–20.54 11.60–21.64 | 10.17 6.61–13.74 5.65–14.70 | 26.79 19.31–34.28 17.26–36.33 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 11.14 8.19–14.08 7.36–14.91 | 6.82 4.14–9.50 3.40–10.24 | 17.95 12.33–23.58 10.76–25.14 | 82% |
| Blocked shots | 4.08 2.20–5.96 1.66–6.51 | 2.51 0.86–4.16 0.37–4.66 | 6.59 3.06–10.13 2.02–11.16 | 66% 13% 21% |
| Corners | 5.96 3.74–8.17 3.17–8.74 | 3.80 1.80–5.80 1.26–6.33 | 9.75 5.54–13.97 4.43–15.07 | 70% 19% |
| Possession % | 56.84 50.05–63.63 48.38–65.30 | 43.89 37.10–50.67 35.43–52.34 | — | 76% 20% |
| Passes | 565 498–632 480–651 | 450 384–517 366–534 | 1015 882–1149 846–1185 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.50 68.47–76.53 67.18–77.82 | 72.52 68.20–76.85 66.89–78.15 | — | 47% 48% |
| Fouls | 11.68 8.84–14.51 8.08–15.27 | 12.81 9.86–15.75 9.12–16.50 | 24.48 18.70–30.27 17.20–31.77 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.80 0.64–2.96 0.34–3.26 | 1.40 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.79 | 3.21 0.95–5.46 0.36–6.05 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.56–2.65 0.29–2.92 | 2.04 0.91–3.17 0.62–3.46 | 3.64 1.47–5.82 0.91–6.38 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 4.07 2.51–5.62 2.09–6.05 | 6.56 3.57–9.55 2.76–10.37 | 21% 13% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+