Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
24%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.181.712.88safe0.21–2.150.85–2.561.06–4.71safer0.00–2.400.62–2.790.58–5.19
Shots on target
30%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.235.309.53safe2.37–6.093.56–7.045.93–13.14safer1.88–6.583.09–7.514.97–14.09
Total shots
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4914.6427.13safe8.56–16.4111.08–18.2019.64–34.62safer7.47–17.5110.12–19.1617.59–36.67
Shots in box
21%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction7.4410.3917.84safe4.50–10.397.71–13.0812.21–23.46safer3.67–11.216.98–13.8110.65–25.03
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.554.518.06safe1.67–5.432.86–6.164.52–11.59safer1.12–5.972.36–6.653.49–12.63
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.795.3010.08safe2.57–7.003.30–7.305.87–14.30safer2.00–7.572.76–7.834.76–15.40
Possession %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction44.2956.70safe37.50–51.0849.91–63.48safer35.83–52.7548.24–65.15
Passes
22%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction373466839safe305–440400–533705–972safer287–458382–550669–1008
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction62.9773.62safe58.94–67.0069.30–77.94safer57.64–68.2967.99–79.25
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0313.7226.75safe10.19–15.8710.78–16.6720.97–32.54safer9.44–16.6210.03–17.4219.47–34.04
Offsides
30%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.642.153.78safe0.48–2.801.06–3.241.53–6.04safer0.17–3.100.77–3.530.94–6.63
Yellow cards
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.024.01safe0.94–3.040.89–3.151.83–6.19safer0.68–3.310.60–3.441.27–6.75
Red cards
80%
homeawaytotalprediction0.140.100.23safe0.00–0.300.00–0.280.00–0.58safer0.00–0.450.00–0.420.00–0.86
GK saves
54%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.672.876.54safe2.24–5.111.32–4.433.55–9.54safer1.85–5.500.89–4.852.74–10.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.18 0.21–2.15 0.00–2.40 | 1.71 0.85–2.56 0.62–2.79 | 2.88 1.06–4.71 0.58–5.19 | 26% 24% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.23 2.37–6.09 1.88–6.58 | 5.30 3.56–7.04 3.09–7.51 | 9.53 5.93–13.14 4.97–14.09 | 30% 57% |
| Total shots | 12.49 8.56–16.41 7.47–17.51 | 14.64 11.08–18.20 10.12–19.16 | 27.13 19.64–34.62 17.59–36.67 | 31% 62% |
| Shots in box | 7.44 4.50–10.39 3.67–11.21 | 10.39 7.71–13.08 6.98–13.81 | 17.84 12.21–23.46 10.65–25.03 | 21% 72% |
| Blocked shots | 3.55 1.67–5.43 1.12–5.97 | 4.51 2.86–6.16 2.36–6.65 | 8.06 4.52–11.59 3.49–12.63 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.79 2.57–7.00 2.00–7.57 | 5.30 3.30–7.30 2.76–7.83 | 10.08 5.87–14.30 4.76–15.40 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 44.29 37.50–51.08 35.83–52.75 | 56.70 49.91–63.48 48.24–65.15 | — | 21% 75% |
| Passes | 373 305–440 287–458 | 466 400–533 382–550 | 839 705–972 669–1008 | 22% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.97 58.94–67.00 57.64–68.29 | 73.62 69.30–77.94 67.99–79.25 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 13.03 10.19–15.87 9.44–16.62 | 13.72 10.78–16.67 10.03–17.42 | 26.75 20.97–32.54 19.47–34.04 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.17–3.10 | 2.15 1.06–3.24 0.77–3.53 | 3.78 1.53–6.04 0.94–6.63 | 30% 21% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.68–3.31 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 4.01 1.83–6.19 1.27–6.75 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.14 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.45 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.23 0.00–0.58 0.00–0.86 | 80% |
| GK saves | 3.67 2.24–5.11 1.85–5.50 | 2.87 1.32–4.43 0.89–4.85 | 6.54 3.55–9.54 2.74–10.35 | 54% 15% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.