Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.482.93safe0.48–2.420.63–2.341.11–4.76safer0.23–2.670.40–2.570.63–5.23
Shots on target
48%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5.234.9110.14safe3.37–7.093.17–6.656.54–13.75safer2.88–7.582.70–7.125.58–14.70
Total shots
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0014.0128.01safe10.08–17.9310.45–17.5720.53–35.50safer8.99–19.029.49–18.5318.48–37.55
Shots in box
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction9.559.2018.75safe6.61–12.506.52–11.8813.13–24.38safer5.78–13.335.78–12.6211.56–25.94
Blocked shots
40%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.643.797.43safe1.75–5.522.14–5.443.89–10.96safer1.21–6.061.65–5.942.86–12.00
Corners
42%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction5.075.2210.29safe2.86–7.293.22–7.226.08–14.50safer2.28–7.862.69–7.754.97–15.61
Possession %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction49.7250.29safe42.93–56.5143.51–57.08safer41.26–58.1841.84–58.75
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction463445909safe396–531379–512775–1042safer378–549361–529739–1078
Pass accuracy %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction69.8473.43safe65.81–73.8769.11–77.75safer64.52–75.1667.80–79.06
Fouls
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8311.3325.16safe10.99–16.678.38–14.2719.37–30.94safer10.24–17.427.63–15.0217.87–32.44
Offsides
36%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.983.81safe0.67–2.990.88–3.071.55–6.06safer0.37–3.290.59–3.360.96–6.65
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.993.77safe0.73–2.830.86–3.121.59–5.95safer0.46–3.090.57–3.411.04–6.51
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.243.466.70safe1.81–4.681.90–5.023.71–9.70safer1.42–5.071.48–5.442.90–10.51
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 1.48 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.57 | 2.93 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.23 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Shots on target | 5.23 3.37–7.09 2.88–7.58 | 4.91 3.17–6.65 2.70–7.12 | 10.14 6.54–13.75 5.58–14.70 | 48% 40% |
| Total shots | 14.00 10.08–17.93 8.99–19.02 | 14.01 10.45–17.57 9.49–18.53 | 28.01 20.53–35.50 18.48–37.55 | 46% 46% |
| Shots in box | 9.55 6.61–12.50 5.78–13.33 | 9.20 6.52–11.88 5.78–12.62 | 18.75 13.13–24.38 11.56–25.94 | 49% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.64 1.75–5.52 1.21–6.06 | 3.79 2.14–5.44 1.65–5.94 | 7.43 3.89–10.96 2.86–12.00 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Corners | 5.07 2.86–7.29 2.28–7.86 | 5.22 3.22–7.22 2.69–7.75 | 10.29 6.08–14.50 4.97–15.61 | 42% 46% |
| Possession % | 49.72 42.93–56.51 41.26–58.18 | 50.29 43.51–57.08 41.84–58.75 | — | 46% 49% |
| Passes | 463 396–531 378–549 | 445 379–512 361–529 | 909 775–1042 739–1078 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.84 65.81–73.87 64.52–75.16 | 73.43 69.11–77.75 67.80–79.06 | — | 30% 65% |
| Fouls | 13.83 10.99–16.67 10.24–17.42 | 11.33 8.38–14.27 7.63–15.02 | 25.16 19.37–30.94 17.87–32.44 | 66% 27% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.98 0.88–3.07 0.59–3.36 | 3.81 1.55–6.06 0.96–6.65 | 36% 21% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.78 0.73–2.83 0.46–3.09 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.77 1.59–5.95 1.04–6.51 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.24 1.81–4.68 1.42–5.07 | 3.46 1.90–5.02 1.48–5.44 | 6.70 3.71–9.70 2.90–10.51 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+