Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
25%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.292.79safe0.53–2.470.43–2.140.97–4.61safer0.28–2.720.21–2.370.49–5.09
Shots on target
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.644.288.92safe2.77–6.502.54–6.025.31–12.52safer2.28–6.992.07–6.494.36–13.48
Total shots
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2011.8526.05safe10.28–18.138.29–15.4118.57–33.54safer9.19–19.227.33–16.3716.52–35.59
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.207.7516.95safe6.25–12.145.07–10.4311.32–22.57safer5.42–12.974.33–11.179.76–24.14
Blocked shots
47%
15%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.793.507.29safe1.91–5.671.85–5.153.75–10.82safer1.36–6.221.35–5.642.72–11.86
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.264.089.34safe3.05–7.472.08–6.085.12–13.55safer2.47–8.051.54–6.614.02–14.66
Possession %
57%
39%
homeawayprediction52.3248.48safe45.53–59.1141.69–55.26safer43.86–60.7840.02–56.94
Passes
59%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction5415121053safe473–608446–578919–1186safer455–626428–596883–1222
Pass accuracy %
29%
67%
homeawayprediction71.1775.03safe67.14–75.2070.70–79.35safer65.85–76.4969.39–80.66
Fouls
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3613.8424.20safe7.52–13.2010.89–16.7818.42–29.98safer6.77–13.9510.14–17.5316.91–31.48
Offsides
37%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.763.43safe0.51–2.830.67–2.851.18–5.68safer0.21–3.130.38–3.140.59–6.27
Yellow cards
27%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.502.163.67safe0.45–2.551.03–3.291.49–5.84safer0.19–2.820.74–3.580.93–6.40
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.902.995.89safe1.46–4.331.44–4.552.90–8.89safer1.08–4.721.01–4.982.09–9.70
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 1.29 0.43–2.14 0.21–2.37 | 2.79 0.97–4.61 0.49–5.09 | 42% 25% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.64 2.77–6.50 2.28–6.99 | 4.28 2.54–6.02 2.07–6.49 | 8.92 5.31–12.52 4.36–13.48 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Total shots | 14.20 10.28–18.13 9.19–19.22 | 11.85 8.29–15.41 7.33–16.37 | 26.05 18.57–33.54 16.52–35.59 | 64% 29% |
| Shots in box | 9.20 6.25–12.14 5.42–12.97 | 7.75 5.07–10.43 4.33–11.17 | 16.95 11.32–22.57 9.76–24.14 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.79 1.91–5.67 1.36–6.22 | 3.50 1.85–5.15 1.35–5.64 | 7.29 3.75–10.82 2.72–11.86 | 47% 15% 38% |
| Corners | 5.26 3.05–7.47 2.47–8.05 | 4.08 2.08–6.08 1.54–6.61 | 9.34 5.12–13.55 4.02–14.66 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 52.32 45.53–59.11 43.86–60.78 | 48.48 41.69–55.26 40.02–56.94 | — | 57% 39% |
| Passes | 541 473–608 455–626 | 512 446–578 428–596 | 1053 919–1186 883–1222 | 59% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.17 67.14–75.20 65.85–76.49 | 75.03 70.70–79.35 69.39–80.66 | — | 29% 67% |
| Fouls | 10.36 7.52–13.20 6.77–13.95 | 13.84 10.89–16.78 10.14–17.53 | 24.20 18.42–29.98 16.91–31.48 | 21% 73% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 1.76 0.67–2.85 0.38–3.14 | 3.43 1.18–5.68 0.59–6.27 | 37% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.67 1.49–5.84 0.93–6.40 | 27% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.90 1.46–4.33 1.08–4.72 | 2.99 1.44–4.55 1.01–4.98 | 5.89 2.90–8.89 2.09–9.70 | 40% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.