Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
25%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.091.622.71safe0.13–2.060.76–2.470.89–4.53safer0.00–2.310.53–2.700.41–5.01
Shots on target
30%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.955.008.95safe2.09–5.813.26–6.745.35–12.56safer1.60–6.302.79–7.214.39–13.51
Total shots
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7414.7727.51safe8.81–16.6611.21–18.3320.02–34.99safer7.72–17.7510.25–19.2917.97–37.05
Shots in box
29%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction7.909.6617.56safe4.96–10.846.98–12.3411.93–23.18safer4.13–11.676.24–13.0710.37–24.75
Blocked shots
32%
14%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.544.367.90safe1.66–5.422.71–6.014.37–11.44safer1.12–5.972.21–6.513.33–12.47
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.275.149.42safe2.06–6.493.14–7.145.20–13.63safer1.49–7.062.61–7.684.10–14.74
Possession %
19%
78%
homeawayprediction43.6457.42safe36.85–50.4350.63–64.20safer35.18–52.1048.96–65.87
Passes
16%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction435552987safe367–502486–619853–1120safer349–520468–636817–1156
Pass accuracy %
94%
homeawayprediction66.3478.61safe62.31–70.3774.29–82.94safer61.02–71.6772.98–84.25
Fouls
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3612.7023.06safe7.53–13.209.75–15.6417.28–28.85safer6.77–13.969.01–16.3915.78–30.35
Offsides
37%
23%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.723.36safe0.48–2.800.62–2.811.11–5.61safer0.18–3.100.34–3.100.52–6.20
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.713.27safe0.51–2.610.58–2.841.10–5.45safer0.25–2.880.29–3.130.54–6.01
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.080.18safe0.00–0.260.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.410.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.692.766.45safe2.26–5.131.20–4.313.45–9.44safer1.87–5.520.77–4.742.64–10.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.09 0.13–2.06 0.00–2.31 | 1.62 0.76–2.47 0.53–2.70 | 2.71 0.89–4.53 0.41–5.01 | 26% 25% 50% |
| Shots on target | 3.95 2.09–5.81 1.60–6.30 | 5.00 3.26–6.74 2.79–7.21 | 8.95 5.35–12.56 4.39–13.51 | 30% 57% |
| Total shots | 12.74 8.81–16.66 7.72–17.75 | 14.77 11.21–18.33 10.25–19.29 | 27.51 20.02–34.99 17.97–37.05 | 31% 61% |
| Shots in box | 7.90 4.96–10.84 4.13–11.67 | 9.66 6.98–12.34 6.24–13.07 | 17.56 11.93–23.18 10.37–24.75 | 29% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.54 1.66–5.42 1.12–5.97 | 4.36 2.71–6.01 2.21–6.51 | 7.90 4.37–11.44 3.33–12.47 | 32% 14% 54% |
| Corners | 4.27 2.06–6.49 1.49–7.06 | 5.14 3.14–7.14 2.61–7.68 | 9.42 5.20–13.63 4.10–14.74 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 43.64 36.85–50.43 35.18–52.10 | 57.42 50.63–64.20 48.96–65.87 | — | 19% 78% |
| Passes | 435 367–502 349–520 | 552 486–619 468–636 | 987 853–1120 817–1156 | 16% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.34 62.31–70.37 61.02–71.67 | 78.61 74.29–82.94 72.98–84.25 | — | 94% |
| Fouls | 10.36 7.53–13.20 6.77–13.96 | 12.70 9.75–15.64 9.01–16.39 | 23.06 17.28–28.85 15.78–30.35 | 28% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.72 0.62–2.81 0.34–3.10 | 3.36 1.11–5.61 0.52–6.20 | 37% 23% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.56 0.51–2.61 0.25–2.88 | 1.71 0.58–2.84 0.29–3.13 | 3.27 1.10–5.45 0.54–6.01 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.69 2.26–5.13 1.87–5.52 | 2.76 1.20–4.31 0.77–4.74 | 6.45 3.45–9.44 2.64–10.25 | 57% 15% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+