Ligue 1·Regular Season - 17·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
83%
homeawaytotalprediction3.040.743.78safe2.07–4.010.00–1.591.96–5.60safer1.82–4.260.00–1.821.48–6.08
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.422.9011.32safe6.56–10.281.16–4.647.71–14.92safer6.07–10.770.69–5.116.76–15.88
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction20.808.0828.88safe16.88–24.734.51–11.6421.39–36.37safer15.78–25.823.56–12.6019.34–38.42
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction13.774.9318.70safe10.83–16.722.25–7.6113.08–24.33safer10.00–17.551.51–8.3511.51–25.89
Blocked shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5.361.727.09safe3.48–7.250.07–3.383.55–10.63safer2.94–7.790.00–3.872.52–11.66
Corners
95%
homeawaytotalprediction8.352.6811.04safe6.14–10.570.68–4.686.82–15.25safer5.57–11.140.15–5.225.72–16.36
Possession %
100%
homeawayprediction73.1926.60safe66.40–79.9819.82–33.39safer64.73–81.6518.15–35.06
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7812991079safe713–848232–365945–1213safer695–866215–383910–1248
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction84.2367.18safe80.20–88.2662.86–71.50safer78.91–89.5561.55–72.81
Fouls
18%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction7.6411.1418.77safe4.80–10.478.19–14.0812.99–24.55safer4.04–11.237.44–14.8311.49–26.06
Offsides
38%
20%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.012.094.10safe0.85–3.171.00–3.191.85–6.36safer0.55–3.470.71–3.471.26–6.94
Yellow cards
21%
27%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction0.801.472.27safe0.00–1.850.34–2.600.09–4.45safer0.00–2.120.05–2.890.00–5.01
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.420.00–0.77
GK saves
85%
homeawaytotalprediction2.015.237.24safe0.58–3.453.67–6.794.25–10.24safer0.19–3.843.25–7.213.44–11.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.04 2.07–4.01 1.82–4.26 | 0.74 0.00–1.59 0.00–1.82 | 3.78 1.96–5.60 1.48–6.08 | 83% |
| Shots on target | 8.42 6.56–10.28 6.07–10.77 | 2.90 1.16–4.64 0.69–5.11 | 11.32 7.71–14.92 6.76–15.88 | 94% |
| Total shots | 20.80 16.88–24.73 15.78–25.82 | 8.08 4.51–11.64 3.56–12.60 | 28.88 21.39–36.37 19.34–38.42 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 13.77 10.83–16.72 10.00–17.55 | 4.93 2.25–7.61 1.51–8.35 | 18.70 13.08–24.33 11.51–25.89 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.36 3.48–7.25 2.94–7.79 | 1.72 0.07–3.38 0.00–3.87 | 7.09 3.55–10.63 2.52–11.66 | 89% |
| Corners | 8.35 6.14–10.57 5.57–11.14 | 2.68 0.68–4.68 0.15–5.22 | 11.04 6.82–15.25 5.72–16.36 | 95% |
| Possession % | 73.19 66.40–79.98 64.73–81.65 | 26.60 19.82–33.39 18.15–35.06 | — | 100% |
| Passes | 781 713–848 695–866 | 299 232–365 215–383 | 1079 945–1213 910–1248 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.23 80.20–88.26 78.91–89.55 | 67.18 62.86–71.50 61.55–72.81 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 7.64 4.80–10.47 4.04–11.23 | 11.14 8.19–14.08 7.44–14.83 | 18.77 12.99–24.55 11.49–26.06 | 18% 76% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.55–3.47 | 2.09 1.00–3.19 0.71–3.47 | 4.10 1.85–6.36 1.26–6.94 | 38% 20% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 0.80 0.00–1.85 0.00–2.12 | 1.47 0.34–2.60 0.05–2.89 | 2.27 0.09–4.45 0.00–5.01 | 21% 27% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.01 0.58–3.45 0.19–3.84 | 5.23 3.67–6.79 3.25–7.21 | 7.24 4.25–10.24 3.44–11.05 | 85% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.