Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
24%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.232.96safe0.76–2.690.38–2.091.14–4.78safer0.50–2.940.15–2.320.66–5.26
Shots on target
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.154.259.41safe3.29–7.012.51–6.005.80–13.01safer2.80–7.502.05–6.464.85–13.97
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3311.5325.86safe10.41–18.267.97–15.0918.37–33.35safer9.31–19.357.01–16.0516.32–35.40
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.577.2016.77safe6.63–12.514.52–9.8811.15–22.39safer5.80–13.343.78–10.629.58–23.96
Blocked shots
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.863.367.22safe1.97–5.741.71–5.013.68–10.75safer1.43–6.281.22–5.512.65–11.79
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.414.279.68safe3.19–7.622.27–6.275.46–13.89safer2.62–8.191.74–6.804.36–15.00
Possession %
52%
44%
homeawayprediction50.5548.91safe43.76–57.3442.12–55.69safer42.09–59.0140.45–57.36
Passes
56%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction5215041024safe454–588437–570891–1158safer435–606420–588855–1194
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction71.9773.98safe67.94–76.0069.66–78.31safer66.65–77.2968.35–79.62
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7911.8423.63safe8.95–14.638.89–14.7817.85–29.41safer8.20–15.388.14–15.5316.34–30.92
Offsides
33%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.843.43safe0.42–2.740.75–2.941.17–5.68safer0.12–3.040.46–3.220.58–6.27
Yellow cards
38%
23%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.613.21safe0.55–2.640.48–2.741.03–5.38safer0.28–2.910.19–3.030.47–5.94
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.833.416.23safe1.39–4.271.85–4.963.24–9.23safer1.01–4.651.42–5.392.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.72 0.76–2.69 0.50–2.94 | 1.23 0.38–2.09 0.15–2.32 | 2.96 1.14–4.78 0.66–5.26 | 49% 24% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.15 3.29–7.01 2.80–7.50 | 4.25 2.51–6.00 2.05–6.46 | 9.41 5.80–13.01 4.85–13.97 | 55% 32% |
| Total shots | 14.33 10.41–18.26 9.31–19.35 | 11.53 7.97–15.09 7.01–16.05 | 25.86 18.37–33.35 16.32–35.40 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.57 6.63–12.51 5.80–13.34 | 7.20 4.52–9.88 3.78–10.62 | 16.77 11.15–22.39 9.58–23.96 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.97–5.74 1.43–6.28 | 3.36 1.71–5.01 1.22–5.51 | 7.22 3.68–10.75 2.65–11.79 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.41 3.19–7.62 2.62–8.19 | 4.27 2.27–6.27 1.74–6.80 | 9.68 5.46–13.89 4.36–15.00 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 50.55 43.76–57.34 42.09–59.01 | 48.91 42.12–55.69 40.45–57.36 | — | 52% 44% |
| Passes | 521 454–588 435–606 | 504 437–570 420–588 | 1024 891–1158 855–1194 | 56% 44% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.97 67.94–76.00 66.65–77.29 | 73.98 69.66–78.31 68.35–79.62 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 11.79 8.95–14.63 8.20–15.38 | 11.84 8.89–14.78 8.14–15.53 | 23.63 17.85–29.41 16.34–30.92 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.74 0.12–3.04 | 1.84 0.75–2.94 0.46–3.22 | 3.43 1.17–5.68 0.58–6.27 | 33% 22% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.55–2.64 0.28–2.91 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 3.21 1.03–5.38 0.47–5.94 | 38% 23% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.27 1.01–4.65 | 3.41 1.85–4.96 1.42–5.39 | 6.23 3.24–9.23 2.43–10.04 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.