Ligue 1·Regular Season - 17·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 17·Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
24%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.732.81safe0.11–2.040.88–2.590.98–4.63safer0.00–2.290.65–2.820.50–5.11
Shots on target
27%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction3.995.389.37safe2.13–5.853.64–7.125.76–12.97safer1.64–6.343.17–7.594.81–13.93
Total shots
38%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5013.5826.09safe8.58–16.4310.02–17.1518.60–33.57safer7.49–17.529.06–18.1116.55–35.62
Shots in box
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction7.679.7317.40safe4.72–10.617.05–12.4211.78–23.02safer3.90–11.446.32–13.1510.21–24.59
Blocked shots
40%
15%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction3.403.596.98safe1.52–5.281.93–5.243.45–10.52safer0.97–5.821.44–5.732.41–11.56
Corners
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.945.6710.61safe2.73–7.163.67–7.676.40–14.82safer2.16–7.733.13–8.205.29–15.93
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction35.1263.26safe28.33–41.9156.48–70.05safer26.66–43.5854.81–71.72
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction341586927safe274–408520–652794–1061safer256–427502–670758–1097
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction62.7876.60safe58.75–66.8172.27–80.92safer57.46–68.1070.97–82.23
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7412.4324.17safe8.90–14.579.49–15.3818.39–29.95safer8.14–15.338.74–16.1316.88–31.46
Offsides
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.632.043.68safe0.47–2.790.95–3.141.42–5.93safer0.17–3.090.66–3.430.83–6.52
Yellow cards
36%
24%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.623.13safe0.47–2.560.49–2.740.95–5.31safer0.20–2.830.20–3.040.40–5.87
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.090.20safe0.00–0.270.00–0.280.00–0.55safer0.00–0.420.00–0.410.00–0.83
GK saves
52%
16%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.512.866.38safe2.08–4.951.31–4.423.38–9.37safer1.69–5.340.88–4.842.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.11–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 1.73 0.88–2.59 0.65–2.82 | 2.81 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.11 | 23% 24% 53% |
| Shots on target | 3.99 2.13–5.85 1.64–6.34 | 5.38 3.64–7.12 3.17–7.59 | 9.37 5.76–12.97 4.81–13.93 | 27% 61% |
| Total shots | 12.50 8.58–16.43 7.49–17.52 | 13.58 10.02–17.15 9.06–18.11 | 26.09 18.60–33.57 16.55–35.62 | 38% 55% |
| Shots in box | 7.67 4.72–10.61 3.90–11.44 | 9.73 7.05–12.42 6.32–13.15 | 17.40 11.78–23.02 10.21–24.59 | 27% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 3.40 1.52–5.28 0.97–5.82 | 3.59 1.93–5.24 1.44–5.73 | 6.98 3.45–10.52 2.41–11.56 | 40% 15% 45% |
| Corners | 4.94 2.73–7.16 2.16–7.73 | 5.67 3.67–7.67 3.13–8.20 | 10.61 6.40–14.82 5.29–15.93 | 35% 53% |
| Possession % | 35.12 28.33–41.91 26.66–43.58 | 63.26 56.48–70.05 54.81–71.72 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 341 274–408 256–427 | 586 520–652 502–670 | 927 794–1061 758–1097 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.78 58.75–66.81 57.46–68.10 | 76.60 72.27–80.92 70.97–82.23 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.74 8.90–14.57 8.14–15.33 | 12.43 9.49–15.38 8.74–16.13 | 24.17 18.39–29.95 16.88–31.46 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 2.04 0.95–3.14 0.66–3.43 | 3.68 1.42–5.93 0.83–6.52 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.52 0.47–2.56 0.20–2.83 | 1.62 0.49–2.74 0.20–3.04 | 3.13 0.95–5.31 0.40–5.87 | 36% 24% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.51 2.08–4.95 1.69–5.34 | 2.86 1.31–4.42 0.88–4.84 | 6.38 3.38–9.37 2.57–10.18 | 52% 16% 32% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.