Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.301.442.74safe0.34–2.270.58–2.290.92–4.56safer0.08–2.520.35–2.520.44–5.04
Shots on target
45%
13%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.614.449.04safe2.74–6.472.69–6.185.44–12.65safer2.25–6.962.23–6.644.48–13.60
Total shots
54%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3412.3725.71safe9.41–17.268.81–15.9418.22–33.20safer8.32–18.357.85–16.9016.17–35.25
Shots in box
47%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction8.538.3716.90safe5.59–11.475.69–11.0611.28–22.53safer4.76–12.304.96–11.799.71–24.09
Blocked shots
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.373.066.44safe1.49–5.261.41–4.722.90–9.97safer0.95–5.800.92–5.211.87–11.01
Corners
42%
13%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.664.779.43safe2.44–6.872.77–6.775.22–13.64safer1.87–7.442.24–7.314.11–14.75
Possession %
51%
45%
homeawayprediction50.9549.67safe44.16–57.7442.88–56.45safer42.49–59.4141.21–58.12
Passes
52%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction495490985safe428–562424–556851–1119safer410–580406–574816–1154
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction72.0973.96safe68.06–76.1269.64–78.29safer66.76–77.4168.33–79.60
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8211.6923.51safe8.98–14.668.74–14.6317.73–29.29safer8.23–15.417.99–15.3816.22–30.80
Offsides
26%
20%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.552.293.84safe0.39–2.711.20–3.381.59–6.09safer0.09–3.010.91–3.671.00–6.68
Yellow cards
36%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.671.793.46safe0.62–2.720.66–2.921.28–5.64safer0.35–2.990.37–3.210.73–6.20
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
39%
16%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.953.146.09safe1.51–4.391.58–4.693.10–9.08safer1.13–4.771.16–5.122.28–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.30 0.34–2.27 0.08–2.52 | 1.44 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.52 | 2.74 0.92–4.56 0.44–5.04 | 34% 26% 40% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.74–6.47 2.25–6.96 | 4.44 2.69–6.18 2.23–6.64 | 9.04 5.44–12.65 4.48–13.60 | 45% 13% 41% |
| Total shots | 13.34 9.41–17.26 8.32–18.35 | 12.37 8.81–15.94 7.85–16.90 | 25.71 18.22–33.20 16.17–35.25 | 54% 39% |
| Shots in box | 8.53 5.59–11.47 4.76–12.30 | 8.37 5.69–11.06 4.96–11.79 | 16.90 11.28–22.53 9.71–24.09 | 47% 44% |
| Blocked shots | 3.37 1.49–5.26 0.95–5.80 | 3.06 1.41–4.72 0.92–5.21 | 6.44 2.90–9.97 1.87–11.01 | 47% 16% 37% |
| Corners | 4.66 2.44–6.87 1.87–7.44 | 4.77 2.77–6.77 2.24–7.31 | 9.43 5.22–13.64 4.11–14.75 | 42% 13% 45% |
| Possession % | 50.95 44.16–57.74 42.49–59.41 | 49.67 42.88–56.45 41.21–58.12 | — | 51% 45% |
| Passes | 495 428–562 410–580 | 490 424–556 406–574 | 985 851–1119 816–1154 | 52% 48% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.09 68.06–76.12 66.76–77.41 | 73.96 69.64–78.29 68.33–79.60 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 11.82 8.98–14.66 8.23–15.41 | 11.69 8.74–14.63 7.99–15.38 | 23.51 17.73–29.29 16.22–30.80 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.55 0.39–2.71 0.09–3.01 | 2.29 1.20–3.38 0.91–3.67 | 3.84 1.59–6.09 1.00–6.68 | 26% 20% 54% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.35–2.99 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.46 1.28–5.64 0.73–6.20 | 36% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.95 1.51–4.39 1.13–4.77 | 3.14 1.58–4.69 1.16–5.12 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.28–9.89 | 39% 16% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+