Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
24%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction1.721.092.81safe0.75–2.690.24–1.950.99–4.63safer0.50–2.940.01–2.180.51–5.11
Shots on target
64%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction5.423.839.26safe3.56–7.292.09–5.585.65–12.86safer3.07–7.781.63–6.044.70–13.82
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction15.969.8625.82safe12.03–19.886.30–13.4318.33–33.31safer10.94–20.975.34–14.3816.28–35.36
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction10.866.8317.69safe7.92–13.804.15–9.5112.07–23.32safer7.09–14.633.42–10.2510.50–24.88
Blocked shots
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.192.536.72safe2.31–6.070.88–4.193.18–10.26safer1.76–6.610.39–4.682.15–11.29
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.143.829.95safe3.93–8.351.82–5.825.74–14.17safer3.35–8.931.28–6.354.63–15.27
Possession %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction52.2146.88safe45.42–59.0040.09–53.66safer43.75–60.6738.42–55.33
Passes
69%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction504443947safe437–571377–509813–1081safer419–589359–527778–1117
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction74.6573.16safe70.62–78.6868.84–77.49safer69.32–79.9767.53–78.80
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7111.6924.40safe9.87–15.558.74–14.6318.62–30.18safer9.12–16.307.99–15.3817.11–31.68
Offsides
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.091.753.84safe0.93–3.250.66–2.841.58–6.09safer0.62–3.550.37–3.130.99–6.68
Yellow cards
28%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.163.74safe0.53–2.631.03–3.291.56–5.91safer0.26–2.890.74–3.581.00–6.47
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.623.436.05safe1.18–4.051.87–4.993.05–9.04safer0.79–4.441.45–5.412.24–9.85
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.72 0.75–2.69 0.50–2.94 | 1.09 0.24–1.95 0.01–2.18 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 52% 24% 24% |
| Shots on target | 5.42 3.56–7.29 3.07–7.78 | 3.83 2.09–5.58 1.63–6.04 | 9.26 5.65–12.86 4.70–13.82 | 64% 24% |
| Total shots | 15.96 12.03–19.88 10.94–20.97 | 9.86 6.30–13.43 5.34–14.38 | 25.82 18.33–33.31 16.28–35.36 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 10.86 7.92–13.80 7.09–14.63 | 6.83 4.15–9.51 3.42–10.25 | 17.69 12.07–23.32 10.50–24.88 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.19 2.31–6.07 1.76–6.61 | 2.53 0.88–4.19 0.39–4.68 | 6.72 3.18–10.26 2.15–11.29 | 67% 20% |
| Corners | 6.14 3.93–8.35 3.35–8.93 | 3.82 1.82–5.82 1.28–6.35 | 9.95 5.74–14.17 4.63–15.27 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 52.21 45.42–59.00 43.75–60.67 | 46.88 40.09–53.66 38.42–55.33 | — | 60% 35% |
| Passes | 504 437–571 419–589 | 443 377–509 359–527 | 947 813–1081 778–1117 | 69% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.65 70.62–78.68 69.32–79.97 | 73.16 68.84–77.49 67.53–78.80 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 12.71 9.87–15.55 9.12–16.30 | 11.69 8.74–14.63 7.99–15.38 | 24.40 18.62–30.18 17.11–31.68 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.09 0.93–3.25 0.62–3.55 | 1.75 0.66–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.84 1.58–6.09 0.99–6.68 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.58 0.53–2.63 0.26–2.89 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.74 1.56–5.91 1.00–6.47 | 28% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 3.43 1.87–4.99 1.45–5.41 | 6.05 3.05–9.04 2.24–9.85 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.