Ligue 1·Regular Season - 18·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 18·Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
17%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction1.102.513.61safe0.13–2.071.65–3.361.79–5.43safer0.00–2.321.43–3.591.31–5.91
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction3.796.9810.77safe1.93–5.655.24–8.727.17–14.38safer1.44–6.144.77–9.196.21–15.33
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9018.1028.99safe6.97–14.8214.53–21.6621.50–36.48safer5.88–15.9113.57–22.6219.45–38.53
Shots in box
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5011.6318.13safe3.56–9.458.95–14.3112.51–23.75safer2.73–10.278.21–15.0410.94–25.32
Blocked shots
15%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction2.604.957.55safe0.72–4.483.29–6.604.01–11.09safer0.18–5.032.80–7.092.98–12.12
Corners
21%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction3.765.789.54safe1.55–5.983.78–7.785.33–13.75safer0.97–6.553.24–8.314.22–14.86
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.6966.26safe27.90–41.4859.48–73.05safer26.23–43.1557.81–74.72
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction4047151119safe337–472648–781985–1253safer319–490631–799950–1288
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction69.8985.26safe65.86–73.9280.94–89.58safer64.57–75.2179.63–90.89
Fouls
62%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction10.708.8919.59safe7.86–13.545.95–11.8413.81–25.37safer7.11–14.295.20–12.5812.30–26.88
Offsides
54%
19%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.451.744.19safe1.29–3.610.65–2.841.94–6.45safer0.99–3.910.36–3.121.35–7.04
Yellow cards
44%
27%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.092.50safe0.36–2.460.00–2.220.33–4.68safer0.10–2.730.00–2.510.00–5.24
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.050.13safe0.00–0.240.00–0.240.00–0.48safer0.00–0.390.00–0.370.00–0.76
GK saves
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.352.546.89safe2.91–5.790.98–4.093.89–9.88safer2.53–6.170.56–4.523.08–10.69
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 2.51 1.65–3.36 1.43–3.59 | 3.61 1.79–5.43 1.31–5.91 | 15% 17% 68% |
| Shots on target | 3.79 1.93–5.65 1.44–6.14 | 6.98 5.24–8.72 4.77–9.19 | 10.77 7.17–14.38 6.21–15.33 | 80% |
| Total shots | 10.90 6.97–14.82 5.88–15.91 | 18.10 14.53–21.66 13.57–22.62 | 28.99 21.50–36.48 19.45–38.53 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 6.50 3.56–9.45 2.73–10.27 | 11.63 8.95–14.31 8.21–15.04 | 18.13 12.51–23.75 10.94–25.32 | 86% |
| Blocked shots | 2.60 0.72–4.48 0.18–5.03 | 4.95 3.29–6.60 2.80–7.09 | 7.55 4.01–11.09 2.98–12.12 | 15% 75% |
| Corners | 3.76 1.55–5.98 0.97–6.55 | 5.78 3.78–7.78 3.24–8.31 | 9.54 5.33–13.75 4.22–14.86 | 21% 69% |
| Possession % | 34.69 27.90–41.48 26.23–43.15 | 66.26 59.48–73.05 57.81–74.72 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 404 337–472 319–490 | 715 648–781 631–799 | 1119 985–1253 950–1288 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.89 65.86–73.92 64.57–75.21 | 85.26 80.94–89.58 79.63–90.89 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 10.70 7.86–13.54 7.11–14.29 | 8.89 5.95–11.84 5.20–12.58 | 19.59 13.81–25.37 12.30–26.88 | 62% 30% |
| Offsides | 2.45 1.29–3.61 0.99–3.91 | 1.74 0.65–2.84 0.36–3.12 | 4.19 1.94–6.45 1.35–7.04 | 54% 19% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.10–2.73 | 1.09 0.00–2.22 0.00–2.51 | 2.50 0.33–4.68 0.00–5.24 | 44% 27% 29% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.05 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.37 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 4.35 2.91–5.79 2.53–6.17 | 2.54 0.98–4.09 0.56–4.52 | 6.89 3.89–9.88 3.08–10.69 | 69% 19% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.