Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.112.81safe0.73–2.670.26–1.960.99–4.63safer0.48–2.920.03–2.190.51–5.11
Shots on target
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.623.559.17safe3.76–7.481.81–5.295.57–12.78safer3.27–7.971.34–5.764.61–13.73
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction17.069.4126.48safe13.14–20.995.85–12.9818.99–33.97safer12.05–22.084.89–13.9416.94–36.02
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.776.8018.57safe8.82–14.714.12–9.4812.94–24.19safer7.99–15.543.38–10.2211.38–25.76
Blocked shots
77%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction4.972.477.44safe3.09–6.860.82–4.123.91–10.98safer2.55–7.400.32–4.612.87–12.01
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.333.9110.24safe4.12–8.541.91–5.916.03–14.46safer3.54–9.121.38–6.454.92–15.56
Possession %
78%
18%
homeawayprediction57.4043.12safe50.61–64.1936.33–49.90safer48.94–65.8634.66–51.57
Passes
87%
homeawaytotalprediction540403942safe472–607336–469808–1076safer454–625319–487773–1111
Pass accuracy %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction74.6768.48safe70.64–78.7064.16–72.81safer69.35–79.9962.85–74.12
Fouls
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9611.1024.06safe10.13–15.808.16–14.0418.28–29.85safer9.37–16.567.41–14.7916.78–31.35
Offsides
45%
23%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.453.19safe0.58–2.900.36–2.540.94–5.45safer0.28–3.200.07–2.830.35–6.04
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.893.39safe0.45–2.550.76–3.011.21–5.57safer0.19–2.820.47–3.310.65–6.12
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.110.19safe0.00–0.240.00–0.300.00–0.53safer0.00–0.390.00–0.430.00–0.82
GK saves
22%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.443.806.23safe1.00–3.872.24–5.353.24–9.22safer0.61–4.261.82–5.782.43–10.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.70 0.73–2.67 0.48–2.92 | 1.11 0.26–1.96 0.03–2.19 | 2.81 0.99–4.63 0.51–5.11 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 5.62 3.76–7.48 3.27–7.97 | 3.55 1.81–5.29 1.34–5.76 | 9.17 5.57–12.78 4.61–13.73 | 70% 20% |
| Total shots | 17.06 13.14–20.99 12.05–22.08 | 9.41 5.85–12.98 4.89–13.94 | 26.48 18.99–33.97 16.94–36.02 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.77 8.82–14.71 7.99–15.54 | 6.80 4.12–9.48 3.38–10.22 | 18.57 12.94–24.19 11.38–25.76 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.97 3.09–6.86 2.55–7.40 | 2.47 0.82–4.12 0.32–4.61 | 7.44 3.91–10.98 2.87–12.01 | 77% 13% |
| Corners | 6.33 4.12–8.54 3.54–9.12 | 3.91 1.91–5.91 1.38–6.45 | 10.24 6.03–14.46 4.92–15.56 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 57.40 50.61–64.19 48.94–65.86 | 43.12 36.33–49.90 34.66–51.57 | — | 78% 18% |
| Passes | 540 472–607 454–625 | 403 336–469 319–487 | 942 808–1076 773–1111 | 87% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.67 70.64–78.70 69.35–79.99 | 68.48 64.16–72.81 62.85–74.12 | — | 77% 19% |
| Fouls | 12.96 10.13–15.80 9.37–16.56 | 11.10 8.16–14.04 7.41–14.79 | 24.06 18.28–29.85 16.78–31.35 | 61% 31% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.45 0.36–2.54 0.07–2.83 | 3.19 0.94–5.45 0.35–6.04 | 45% 23% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.50 0.45–2.55 0.19–2.82 | 1.89 0.76–3.01 0.47–3.31 | 3.39 1.21–5.57 0.65–6.12 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.87 0.61–4.26 | 3.80 2.24–5.35 1.82–5.78 | 6.23 3.24–9.22 2.43–10.04 | 22% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.