Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.513.10safe0.62–2.550.66–2.371.27–4.92safer0.37–2.800.43–2.590.79–5.40
Shots on target
33%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction4.745.6110.35safe2.88–6.603.87–7.356.75–13.96safer2.39–7.093.40–7.825.79–14.91
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0314.7327.76safe9.10–16.9511.16–18.2920.27–35.24safer8.01–18.0510.20–19.2518.22–37.29
Shots in box
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.708.8717.57safe5.76–11.646.19–11.5511.95–23.19safer4.93–12.475.45–12.2910.38–24.76
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.413.727.13safe1.53–5.292.06–5.373.59–10.66safer0.98–5.831.57–5.862.55–11.70
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.224.9710.19safe3.00–7.432.97–6.975.98–14.40safer2.43–8.002.44–7.514.87–15.51
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.4650.38safe43.67–57.2543.60–57.17safer42.00–58.9241.92–58.84
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction494470964safe427–561404–537830–1098safer409–579386–554795–1133
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction69.5871.70safe65.55–73.6167.38–76.02safer64.26–74.9066.07–77.33
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1711.9725.14safe10.33–16.009.03–14.9219.36–30.92safer9.57–16.768.28–15.6617.85–32.42
Offsides
40%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.843.75safe0.74–3.060.75–2.941.49–6.00safer0.44–3.360.46–3.230.90–6.59
Yellow cards
37%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.803.49safe0.64–2.740.67–2.931.31–5.67safer0.38–3.010.38–3.220.76–6.23
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
50%
16%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.573.056.62safe2.13–5.001.49–4.613.62–9.61safer1.74–5.391.07–5.032.81–10.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.55 0.37–2.80 | 1.51 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.59 | 3.10 1.27–4.92 0.79–5.40 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Shots on target | 4.74 2.88–6.60 2.39–7.09 | 5.61 3.87–7.35 3.40–7.82 | 10.35 6.75–13.96 5.79–14.91 | 33% 54% |
| Total shots | 13.03 9.10–16.95 8.01–18.05 | 14.73 11.16–18.29 10.20–19.25 | 27.76 20.27–35.24 18.22–37.29 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 8.70 5.76–11.64 4.93–12.47 | 8.87 6.19–11.55 5.45–12.29 | 17.57 11.95–23.19 10.38–24.76 | 44% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.41 1.53–5.29 0.98–5.83 | 3.72 2.06–5.37 1.57–5.86 | 7.13 3.59–10.66 2.55–11.70 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 5.22 3.00–7.43 2.43–8.00 | 4.97 2.97–6.97 2.44–7.51 | 10.19 5.98–14.40 4.87–15.51 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 50.46 43.67–57.25 42.00–58.92 | 50.38 43.60–57.17 41.92–58.84 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 494 427–561 409–579 | 470 404–537 386–554 | 964 830–1098 795–1133 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.58 65.55–73.61 64.26–74.90 | 71.70 67.38–76.02 66.07–77.33 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 13.17 10.33–16.00 9.57–16.76 | 11.97 9.03–14.92 8.28–15.66 | 25.14 19.36–30.92 17.85–32.42 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.84 0.75–2.94 0.46–3.23 | 3.75 1.49–6.00 0.90–6.59 | 40% 21% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.49 1.31–5.67 0.76–6.23 | 37% 22% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.57 2.13–5.00 1.74–5.39 | 3.05 1.49–4.61 1.07–5.03 | 6.62 3.62–9.61 2.81–10.42 | 50% 16% 34% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.