Ligue 1·Regular Season - 20·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.562.82safe0.30–2.230.70–2.411.00–4.65safer0.05–2.480.47–2.640.52–5.12
Shots on target
38%
13%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.404.799.19safe2.54–6.263.05–6.535.58–12.79safer2.05–6.752.58–7.004.63–13.75
Total shots
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1314.0528.18safe10.21–18.0610.49–17.6120.69–35.67safer9.12–19.159.53–18.5718.64–37.72
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction8.7910.0618.85safe5.84–11.737.38–12.7513.23–24.47safer5.01–12.566.65–13.4811.66–26.04
Blocked shots
31%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.594.488.08safe1.71–5.482.83–6.144.54–11.61safer1.17–6.022.34–6.633.51–12.65
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.885.4110.29safe2.67–7.103.41–7.416.08–14.51safer2.10–7.672.88–7.944.97–15.61
Possession %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction43.9156.49safe37.12–50.7049.71–63.28safer35.45–52.3748.04–64.95
Passes
18%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction371481853safe304–438415–548719–986safer286–457397–565683–1022
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction63.3173.98safe59.28–67.3369.66–78.31safer57.98–68.6368.35–79.62
Fouls
50%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2512.7926.04safe10.41–16.089.85–15.7320.25–31.82safer9.65–16.849.10–16.4818.75–33.32
Offsides
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.013.75safe0.58–2.900.92–3.111.50–6.01safer0.28–3.200.63–3.390.91–6.60
Yellow cards
41%
21%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.873.82safe0.91–3.000.74–3.001.65–6.00safer0.64–3.270.45–3.291.09–6.56
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.333.056.38safe1.89–4.771.49–4.603.39–9.37safer1.51–5.151.07–5.032.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.30–2.23 0.05–2.48 | 1.56 0.70–2.41 0.47–2.64 | 2.82 1.00–4.65 0.52–5.12 | 31% 25% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.40 2.54–6.26 2.05–6.75 | 4.79 3.05–6.53 2.58–7.00 | 9.19 5.58–12.79 4.63–13.75 | 38% 13% 48% |
| Total shots | 14.13 10.21–18.06 9.12–19.15 | 14.05 10.49–17.61 9.53–18.57 | 28.18 20.69–35.67 18.64–37.72 | 47% 46% |
| Shots in box | 8.79 5.84–11.73 5.01–12.56 | 10.06 7.38–12.75 6.65–13.48 | 18.85 13.23–24.47 11.66–26.04 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.59 1.71–5.48 1.17–6.02 | 4.48 2.83–6.14 2.34–6.63 | 8.08 4.54–11.61 3.51–12.65 | 31% 14% 55% |
| Corners | 4.88 2.67–7.10 2.10–7.67 | 5.41 3.41–7.41 2.88–7.94 | 10.29 6.08–14.51 4.97–15.61 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 43.91 37.12–50.70 35.45–52.37 | 56.49 49.71–63.28 48.04–64.95 | — | 21% 75% |
| Passes | 371 304–438 286–457 | 481 415–548 397–565 | 853 719–986 683–1022 | 18% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.31 59.28–67.33 57.98–68.63 | 73.98 69.66–78.31 68.35–79.62 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 13.25 10.41–16.08 9.65–16.84 | 12.79 9.85–15.73 9.10–16.48 | 26.04 20.25–31.82 18.75–33.32 | 50% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 2.01 0.92–3.11 0.63–3.39 | 3.75 1.50–6.01 0.91–6.60 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.96 0.91–3.00 0.64–3.27 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.82 1.65–6.00 1.09–6.56 | 41% 21% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 3.33 1.89–4.77 1.51–5.15 | 3.05 1.49–4.60 1.07–5.03 | 6.38 3.39–9.37 2.57–10.18 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.