Ligue 1·Regular Season - 20·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 20·Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
20%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction2.090.862.95safe1.12–3.060.01–1.721.13–4.77safer0.87–3.310.00–1.950.65–5.25
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.143.159.29safe4.28–8.001.41–4.895.68–12.89safer3.79–8.490.94–5.364.73–13.85
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction17.159.9727.12safe13.22–21.076.41–13.5419.63–34.61safer12.13–22.165.45–14.5017.58–36.66
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.136.0917.22safe8.19–14.073.41–8.7711.59–22.84safer7.36–14.902.67–9.5110.03–24.41
Blocked shots
65%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.972.456.43safe2.09–5.860.80–4.112.89–9.96safer1.55–6.400.31–4.601.85–11.00
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.853.849.69safe3.63–8.061.84–5.845.47–13.90safer3.06–8.631.31–6.374.37–15.01
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.9836.08safe58.19–71.7729.30–42.86safer56.52–73.4427.62–44.54
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction627348974safe559–694281–414841–1108safer541–712264–432805–1144
Pass accuracy %
83%
14%
homeawayprediction74.0566.13safe70.02–78.0861.81–70.45safer68.73–79.3760.50–71.76
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7811.8323.61safe8.94–14.628.89–14.7717.83–29.39safer8.19–15.388.14–15.5216.33–30.90
Offsides
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.383.21safe0.67–2.990.29–2.470.96–5.47safer0.37–3.290.00–2.760.37–6.06
Yellow cards
31%
23%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.793.22safe0.38–2.470.66–2.921.04–5.39safer0.11–2.740.37–3.210.48–5.95
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.294.176.45safe0.85–3.722.61–5.723.46–9.45safer0.46–4.112.19–6.152.65–10.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.09 1.12–3.06 0.87–3.31 | 0.86 0.01–1.72 0.00–1.95 | 2.95 1.13–4.77 0.65–5.25 | 66% 20% 14% |
| Shots on target | 6.14 4.28–8.00 3.79–8.49 | 3.15 1.41–4.89 0.94–5.36 | 9.29 5.68–12.89 4.73–13.85 | 79% |
| Total shots | 17.15 13.22–21.07 12.13–22.16 | 9.97 6.41–13.54 5.45–14.50 | 27.12 19.63–34.61 17.58–36.66 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.13 8.19–14.07 7.36–14.90 | 6.09 3.41–8.77 2.67–9.51 | 17.22 11.59–22.84 10.03–24.41 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.09–5.86 1.55–6.40 | 2.45 0.80–4.11 0.31–4.60 | 6.43 2.89–9.96 1.85–11.00 | 65% 14% 21% |
| Corners | 5.85 3.63–8.06 3.06–8.63 | 3.84 1.84–5.84 1.31–6.37 | 9.69 5.47–13.90 4.37–15.01 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 64.98 58.19–71.77 56.52–73.44 | 36.08 29.30–42.86 27.62–44.54 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 627 559–694 541–712 | 348 281–414 264–432 | 974 841–1108 805–1144 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.05 70.02–78.08 68.73–79.37 | 66.13 61.81–70.45 60.50–71.76 | — | 83% 14% |
| Fouls | 11.78 8.94–14.62 8.19–15.38 | 11.83 8.89–14.77 8.14–15.52 | 23.61 17.83–29.39 16.33–30.90 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.83 0.67–2.99 0.37–3.29 | 1.38 0.29–2.47 0.00–2.76 | 3.21 0.96–5.47 0.37–6.06 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.38–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.22 1.04–5.39 0.48–5.95 | 31% 23% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.29 0.85–3.72 0.46–4.11 | 4.17 2.61–5.72 2.19–6.15 | 6.45 3.46–9.45 2.65–10.26 | 17% 71% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.