Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
24%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.662.82safe0.19–2.130.81–2.521.00–4.65safer0.00–2.380.58–2.740.52–5.13
Shots on target
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction3.825.279.09safe1.96–5.683.53–7.015.49–12.70safer1.47–6.173.06–7.484.53–13.65
Total shots
31%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2514.2926.54safe8.32–16.1710.73–17.8519.05–34.03safer7.23–17.269.77–18.8117.00–36.08
Shots in box
29%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction7.309.0816.38safe4.36–10.246.40–11.7610.75–22.00safer3.53–11.075.66–12.509.19–23.57
Blocked shots
38%
15%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.684.037.71safe1.80–5.562.38–5.684.18–11.25safer1.25–6.111.89–6.183.14–12.28
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.034.679.70safe2.81–7.242.67–6.675.49–13.92safer2.24–7.822.14–7.214.38–15.02
Possession %
24%
72%
homeawayprediction44.7455.73safe37.95–51.5348.94–62.51safer36.28–53.2047.27–64.18
Passes
21%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction436531967safe369–504464–597834–1101safer351–522447–615798–1137
Pass accuracy %
86%
homeawayprediction66.5375.29safe62.50–70.5670.96–79.61safer61.21–71.8569.65–80.92
Fouls
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0113.1424.14safe8.17–13.8410.19–16.0818.36–29.92safer7.41–14.609.44–16.8316.86–31.43
Offsides
30%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.501.923.42safe0.34–2.660.82–3.011.17–5.67safer0.04–2.960.54–3.300.58–6.26
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.993.75safe0.70–2.800.87–3.121.57–5.92safer0.44–3.070.57–3.411.01–6.48
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
55%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.572.736.30safe2.13–5.001.17–4.293.31–9.29safer1.74–5.390.75–4.712.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.19–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.66 0.81–2.52 0.58–2.74 | 2.82 1.00–4.65 0.52–5.13 | 27% 24% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.82 1.96–5.68 1.47–6.17 | 5.27 3.53–7.01 3.06–7.48 | 9.09 5.49–12.70 4.53–13.65 | 26% 62% |
| Total shots | 12.25 8.32–16.17 7.23–17.26 | 14.29 10.73–17.85 9.77–18.81 | 26.54 19.05–34.03 17.00–36.08 | 31% 62% |
| Shots in box | 7.30 4.36–10.24 3.53–11.07 | 9.08 6.40–11.76 5.66–12.50 | 16.38 10.75–22.00 9.19–23.57 | 29% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.68 1.80–5.56 1.25–6.11 | 4.03 2.38–5.68 1.89–6.18 | 7.71 4.18–11.25 3.14–12.28 | 38% 15% 48% |
| Corners | 5.03 2.81–7.24 2.24–7.82 | 4.67 2.67–6.67 2.14–7.21 | 9.70 5.49–13.92 4.38–15.02 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 44.74 37.95–51.53 36.28–53.20 | 55.73 48.94–62.51 47.27–64.18 | — | 24% 72% |
| Passes | 436 369–504 351–522 | 531 464–597 447–615 | 967 834–1101 798–1137 | 21% 78% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.53 62.50–70.56 61.21–71.85 | 75.29 70.96–79.61 69.65–80.92 | — | 86% |
| Fouls | 11.01 8.17–13.84 7.41–14.60 | 13.14 10.19–16.08 9.44–16.83 | 24.14 18.36–29.92 16.86–31.43 | 30% 63% |
| Offsides | 1.50 0.34–2.66 0.04–2.96 | 1.92 0.82–3.01 0.54–3.30 | 3.42 1.17–5.67 0.58–6.26 | 30% 22% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 1.99 0.87–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.75 1.57–5.92 1.01–6.48 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.57 2.13–5.00 1.74–5.39 | 2.73 1.17–4.29 0.75–4.71 | 6.30 3.31–9.29 2.49–10.10 | 55% 15% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.