Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
24%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.031.672.70safe0.07–2.000.81–2.520.88–4.52safer0.00–2.250.58–2.750.40–5.00
Shots on target
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.595.308.88safe1.73–5.453.55–7.045.28–12.49safer1.24–5.943.09–7.504.32–13.44
Total shots
21%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1714.6725.84safe7.24–15.0911.11–18.2418.35–33.33safer6.15–16.1810.15–19.2016.30–35.38
Shots in box
14%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.5210.3316.85safe3.58–9.467.65–13.0111.23–22.47safer2.75–10.296.91–13.759.66–24.04
Blocked shots
26%
14%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.984.227.20safe1.10–4.872.56–5.873.67–10.74safer0.56–5.412.07–6.362.63–11.77
Corners
30%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.335.429.76safe2.12–6.553.42–7.425.54–13.97safer1.54–7.122.89–7.964.44–15.08
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction40.9459.53safe34.15–47.7352.74–66.31safer32.48–49.4051.07–67.99
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction357504861safe290–424437–570727–994safer272–442420–588691–1030
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction63.9875.93safe59.95–68.0171.61–80.26safer58.66–69.3070.30–81.57
Fouls
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8812.4126.29safe11.05–16.729.46–15.3520.51–32.07safer10.29–17.488.71–16.1019.00–33.58
Offsides
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.183.94safe0.60–2.921.08–3.271.68–6.19safer0.30–3.220.80–3.561.10–6.78
Yellow cards
42%
21%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.883.90safe0.97–3.070.75–3.011.72–6.07safer0.70–3.330.46–3.301.16–6.63
Red cards
14%
79%
homeawaytotalprediction0.170.090.25safe0.01–0.330.00–0.280.00–0.60safer0.00–0.480.00–0.410.00–0.88
GK saves
54%
16%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.442.696.13safe2.00–4.871.13–4.253.14–9.12safer1.61–5.260.71–4.672.32–9.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.03 0.07–2.00 0.00–2.25 | 1.67 0.81–2.52 0.58–2.75 | 2.70 0.88–4.52 0.40–5.00 | 23% 24% 52% |
| Shots on target | 3.59 1.73–5.45 1.24–5.94 | 5.30 3.55–7.04 3.09–7.50 | 8.88 5.28–12.49 4.32–13.44 | 23% 66% |
| Total shots | 11.17 7.24–15.09 6.15–16.18 | 14.67 11.11–18.24 10.15–19.20 | 25.84 18.35–33.33 16.30–35.38 | 21% 72% |
| Shots in box | 6.52 3.58–9.46 2.75–10.29 | 10.33 7.65–13.01 6.91–13.75 | 16.85 11.23–22.47 9.66–24.04 | 14% 79% |
| Blocked shots | 2.98 1.10–4.87 0.56–5.41 | 4.22 2.56–5.87 2.07–6.36 | 7.20 3.67–10.74 2.63–11.77 | 26% 14% 61% |
| Corners | 4.33 2.12–6.55 1.54–7.12 | 5.42 3.42–7.42 2.89–7.96 | 9.76 5.54–13.97 4.44–15.08 | 30% 57% |
| Possession % | 40.94 34.15–47.73 32.48–49.40 | 59.53 52.74–66.31 51.07–67.99 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 357 290–424 272–442 | 504 437–570 420–588 | 861 727–994 691–1030 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.98 59.95–68.01 58.66–69.30 | 75.93 71.61–80.26 70.30–81.57 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 13.88 11.05–16.72 10.29–17.48 | 12.41 9.46–15.35 8.71–16.10 | 26.29 20.51–32.07 19.00–33.58 | 58% 35% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 2.18 1.08–3.27 0.80–3.56 | 3.94 1.68–6.19 1.10–6.78 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 2.02 0.97–3.07 0.70–3.33 | 1.88 0.75–3.01 0.46–3.30 | 3.90 1.72–6.07 1.16–6.63 | 42% 21% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.17 0.01–0.33 0.00–0.48 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.25 0.00–0.60 0.00–0.88 | 14% 79% |
| GK saves | 3.44 2.00–4.87 1.61–5.26 | 2.69 1.13–4.25 0.71–4.67 | 6.13 3.14–9.12 2.32–9.93 | 54% 16% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.