Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
23%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction1.810.992.80safe0.84–2.780.14–1.850.98–4.63safer0.59–3.030.00–2.080.50–5.10
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.543.559.09safe3.67–7.401.81–5.305.48–12.69safer3.18–7.891.34–5.764.53–13.65
Total shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction16.579.3825.95safe12.64–20.495.82–12.9418.46–33.44safer11.55–21.584.86–13.9016.41–35.49
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction11.006.5117.51safe8.05–13.943.83–9.1911.88–23.13safer7.23–14.773.09–9.9310.32–24.70
Blocked shots
72%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.562.527.08safe2.68–6.440.87–4.183.55–10.62safer2.13–6.980.38–4.672.51–11.65
Corners
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.733.719.45safe3.52–7.951.71–5.725.24–13.66safer2.95–8.521.18–6.254.13–14.77
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.9842.75safe51.19–64.7735.96–49.53safer49.52–66.4434.29–51.20
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction5954281023safe528–662361–494889–1156safer510–680344–511853–1192
Pass accuracy %
68%
27%
homeawayprediction75.2671.11safe71.23–79.2966.79–75.44safer69.94–80.5865.48–76.75
Fouls
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8611.6523.52safe9.03–14.708.71–14.6017.73–29.30safer8.27–15.467.96–15.3516.23–30.80
Offsides
47%
22%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.553.47safe0.76–3.080.46–2.641.22–5.73safer0.46–3.380.17–2.930.63–6.32
Yellow cards
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.643.05safe0.36–2.460.51–2.770.87–5.23safer0.09–2.720.22–3.060.31–5.78
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
25%
15%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.403.475.87safe0.96–3.831.92–5.032.88–8.86safer0.57–4.221.49–5.452.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.81 0.84–2.78 0.59–3.03 | 0.99 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 2.80 0.98–4.63 0.50–5.10 | 56% 23% 21% |
| Shots on target | 5.54 3.67–7.40 3.18–7.89 | 3.55 1.81–5.30 1.34–5.76 | 9.09 5.48–12.69 4.53–13.65 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 16.57 12.64–20.49 11.55–21.58 | 9.38 5.82–12.94 4.86–13.90 | 25.95 18.46–33.44 16.41–35.49 | 91% |
| Shots in box | 11.00 8.05–13.94 7.23–14.77 | 6.51 3.83–9.19 3.09–9.93 | 17.51 11.88–23.13 10.32–24.70 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.56 2.68–6.44 2.13–6.98 | 2.52 0.87–4.18 0.38–4.67 | 7.08 3.55–10.62 2.51–11.65 | 72% 17% |
| Corners | 5.73 3.52–7.95 2.95–8.52 | 3.71 1.71–5.72 1.18–6.25 | 9.45 5.24–13.66 4.13–14.77 | 69% 20% |
| Possession % | 57.98 51.19–64.77 49.52–66.44 | 42.75 35.96–49.53 34.29–51.20 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 595 528–662 510–680 | 428 361–494 344–511 | 1023 889–1156 853–1192 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.26 71.23–79.29 69.94–80.58 | 71.11 66.79–75.44 65.48–76.75 | — | 68% 27% |
| Fouls | 11.86 9.03–14.70 8.27–15.46 | 11.65 8.71–14.60 7.96–15.35 | 23.52 17.73–29.30 16.23–30.80 | 48% 44% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.38 | 1.55 0.46–2.64 0.17–2.93 | 3.47 1.22–5.73 0.63–6.32 | 47% 22% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.41 0.36–2.46 0.09–2.72 | 1.64 0.51–2.77 0.22–3.06 | 3.05 0.87–5.23 0.31–5.78 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.40 0.96–3.83 0.57–4.22 | 3.47 1.92–5.03 1.49–5.45 | 5.87 2.88–8.86 2.06–9.67 | 25% 15% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.