Predicted match statistics
Goals
53%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.333.34safe1.04–2.980.47–2.181.52–5.16safer0.79–3.230.25–2.411.04–5.64
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.574.2510.82safe4.71–8.442.51–5.997.22–14.43safer4.22–8.932.04–6.466.26–15.38
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction17.2910.9628.26safe13.37–21.227.40–14.5220.77–35.74safer12.28–22.316.44–15.4818.72–37.79
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction12.717.5620.26safe9.77–15.654.88–10.2414.64–25.89safer8.94–16.484.14–10.9713.07–27.45
Blocked shots
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction5.232.818.05safe3.35–7.121.16–4.474.51–11.58safer2.81–7.660.67–4.963.48–12.62
Corners
72%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.474.0810.55safe4.25–8.682.08–6.086.33–14.76safer3.68–9.251.55–6.625.23–15.87
Possession %
74%
23%
homeawayprediction56.5744.89safe49.78–63.3638.11–51.68safer48.11–65.0336.44–53.35
Passes
81%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction517413930safe450–584346–479796–1063safer432–602329–497760–1099
Pass accuracy %
60%
35%
homeawayprediction72.5370.04safe68.50–76.5665.71–74.36safer67.21–77.8564.40–75.67
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6513.9525.60safe8.81–14.4911.00–16.8919.82–31.38safer8.06–15.2410.26–17.6418.31–32.89
Offsides
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.573.45safe0.72–3.040.48–2.661.19–5.70safer0.42–3.340.19–2.950.60–6.29
Yellow cards
24%
19%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.433.97safe0.49–2.591.30–3.551.79–6.15safer0.23–2.861.01–3.851.23–6.70
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.21safe0.00–0.240.00–0.320.00–0.56safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
22%
13%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.674.166.82safe1.23–4.102.60–5.713.83–9.82safer0.84–4.492.18–6.143.02–10.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.01 1.04–2.98 0.79–3.23 | 1.33 0.47–2.18 0.25–2.41 | 3.34 1.52–5.16 1.04–5.64 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Shots on target | 6.57 4.71–8.44 4.22–8.93 | 4.25 2.51–5.99 2.04–6.46 | 10.82 7.22–14.43 6.26–15.38 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.29 13.37–21.22 12.28–22.31 | 10.96 7.40–14.52 6.44–15.48 | 28.26 20.77–35.74 18.72–37.79 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 12.71 9.77–15.65 8.94–16.48 | 7.56 4.88–10.24 4.14–10.97 | 20.26 14.64–25.89 13.07–27.45 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 5.23 3.35–7.12 2.81–7.66 | 2.81 1.16–4.47 0.67–4.96 | 8.05 4.51–11.58 3.48–12.62 | 75% 15% |
| Corners | 6.47 4.25–8.68 3.68–9.25 | 4.08 2.08–6.08 1.55–6.62 | 10.55 6.33–14.76 5.23–15.87 | 72% 18% |
| Possession % | 56.57 49.78–63.36 48.11–65.03 | 44.89 38.11–51.68 36.44–53.35 | — | 74% 23% |
| Passes | 517 450–584 432–602 | 413 346–479 329–497 | 930 796–1063 760–1099 | 81% 19% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.53 68.50–76.56 67.21–77.85 | 70.04 65.71–74.36 64.40–75.67 | — | 60% 35% |
| Fouls | 11.65 8.81–14.49 8.06–15.24 | 13.95 11.00–16.89 10.26–17.64 | 25.60 19.82–31.38 18.31–32.89 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.57 0.48–2.66 0.19–2.95 | 3.45 1.19–5.70 0.60–6.29 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 2.43 1.30–3.55 1.01–3.85 | 3.97 1.79–6.15 1.23–6.70 | 24% 19% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.67 1.23–4.10 0.84–4.49 | 4.16 2.60–5.71 2.18–6.14 | 6.82 3.83–9.82 3.02–10.63 | 22% 13% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.