Ligue 1·Regular Season - 21·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 21·Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
25%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.582.87safe0.32–2.260.72–2.431.05–4.69safer0.07–2.510.49–2.660.57–5.17
Shots on target
37%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.615.179.78safe2.75–6.473.43–6.926.18–13.39safer2.26–6.962.97–7.385.22–14.34
Total shots
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2713.7127.99safe10.35–18.2010.15–17.2820.50–35.47safer9.26–19.299.19–18.2318.45–37.52
Shots in box
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction9.518.5718.08safe6.57–12.455.89–11.2512.46–23.70safer5.74–13.285.15–11.9910.89–25.27
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.873.897.77safe1.99–5.762.24–5.554.23–11.30safer1.45–6.301.75–6.043.20–12.34
Corners
45%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction5.064.9910.04safe2.84–7.272.99–6.995.83–14.26safer2.27–7.842.45–7.524.72–15.36
Possession %
43%
53%
homeawayprediction49.1751.28safe42.38–55.9644.49–58.06safer40.71–57.6342.82–59.73
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction477487964safe410–544420–553830–1098safer392–562403–571794–1133
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction69.2775.25safe65.24–73.2970.92–79.57safer63.94–74.5969.62–80.88
Fouls
50%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1611.6023.76safe9.32–15.008.66–14.5517.98–29.54safer8.56–15.757.91–15.2916.47–31.05
Offsides
36%
22%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.783.44safe0.50–2.820.69–2.871.19–5.70safer0.20–3.130.40–3.160.60–6.29
Yellow cards
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.722.063.78safe0.67–2.770.93–3.191.60–5.96safer0.41–3.040.64–3.481.05–6.52
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.110.080.18safe0.00–0.270.00–0.270.00–0.53safer0.00–0.420.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
44%
16%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.333.236.56safe1.90–4.771.67–4.783.57–9.55safer1.51–5.161.25–5.212.76–10.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.26 0.07–2.51 | 1.58 0.72–2.43 0.49–2.66 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 31% 25% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.75–6.47 2.26–6.96 | 5.17 3.43–6.92 2.97–7.38 | 9.78 6.18–13.39 5.22–14.34 | 37% 51% |
| Total shots | 14.27 10.35–18.20 9.26–19.29 | 13.71 10.15–17.28 9.19–18.23 | 27.99 20.50–35.47 18.45–37.52 | 50% 42% |
| Shots in box | 9.51 6.57–12.45 5.74–13.28 | 8.57 5.89–11.25 5.15–11.99 | 18.08 12.46–23.70 10.89–25.27 | 54% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.87 1.99–5.76 1.45–6.30 | 3.89 2.24–5.55 1.75–6.04 | 7.77 4.23–11.30 3.20–12.34 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 5.06 2.84–7.27 2.27–7.84 | 4.99 2.99–6.99 2.45–7.52 | 10.04 5.83–14.26 4.72–15.36 | 45% 43% |
| Possession % | 49.17 42.38–55.96 40.71–57.63 | 51.28 44.49–58.06 42.82–59.73 | — | 43% 53% |
| Passes | 477 410–544 392–562 | 487 420–553 403–571 | 964 830–1098 794–1133 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.27 65.24–73.29 63.94–74.59 | 75.25 70.92–79.57 69.62–80.88 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 12.16 9.32–15.00 8.56–15.75 | 11.60 8.66–14.55 7.91–15.29 | 23.76 17.98–29.54 16.47–31.05 | 50% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.66 0.50–2.82 0.20–3.13 | 1.78 0.69–2.87 0.40–3.16 | 3.44 1.19–5.70 0.60–6.29 | 36% 22% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.72 0.67–2.77 0.41–3.04 | 2.06 0.93–3.19 0.64–3.48 | 3.78 1.60–5.96 1.05–6.52 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.11 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.42 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.33 1.90–4.77 1.51–5.16 | 3.23 1.67–4.78 1.25–5.21 | 6.56 3.57–9.55 2.76–10.37 | 44% 16% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.