Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
25%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.081.622.71safe0.12–2.050.77–2.480.88–4.53safer0.00–2.300.54–2.710.41–5.01
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.005.209.20safe2.14–5.863.45–6.945.59–12.80safer1.65–6.352.99–7.414.64–13.76
Total shots
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3612.6725.03safe8.43–16.289.11–16.2317.54–32.51safer7.34–17.378.15–17.1915.49–34.57
Shots in box
34%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction7.688.9016.58safe4.74–10.626.22–11.5810.96–22.20safer3.91–11.455.48–12.329.39–23.77
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.283.586.86safe1.40–5.171.93–5.233.33–10.40safer0.86–5.711.44–5.732.29–11.44
Corners
47%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.104.859.95safe2.88–7.312.85–6.855.73–14.16safer2.31–7.882.32–7.384.63–15.27
Possession %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction43.0656.80safe36.27–49.8550.01–63.58safer34.60–51.5248.34–65.25
Passes
18%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction402512914safe335–469445–578780–1047safer317–487428–596744–1083
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction67.6073.94safe63.57–71.6369.62–78.27safer62.27–72.9268.31–79.58
Fouls
77%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction14.4310.2724.70safe11.59–17.277.33–13.2218.92–30.48safer10.83–18.026.58–13.9717.41–31.99
Offsides
41%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.793.67safe0.72–3.040.69–2.881.41–5.92safer0.42–3.340.40–3.170.83–6.51
Yellow cards
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.683.49safe0.76–2.860.55–2.811.31–5.66safer0.49–3.120.26–3.100.75–6.22
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.302.736.04safe1.87–4.741.18–4.293.04–9.03safer1.48–5.120.75–4.722.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.08 0.12–2.05 0.00–2.30 | 1.62 0.77–2.48 0.54–2.71 | 2.71 0.88–4.53 0.41–5.01 | 25% 25% 50% |
| Shots on target | 4.00 2.14–5.86 1.65–6.35 | 5.20 3.45–6.94 2.99–7.41 | 9.20 5.59–12.80 4.64–13.76 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 12.36 8.43–16.28 7.34–17.37 | 12.67 9.11–16.23 8.15–17.19 | 25.03 17.54–32.51 15.49–34.57 | 43% 49% |
| Shots in box | 7.68 4.74–10.62 3.91–11.45 | 8.90 6.22–11.58 5.48–12.32 | 16.58 10.96–22.20 9.39–23.77 | 34% 57% |
| Blocked shots | 3.28 1.40–5.17 0.86–5.71 | 3.58 1.93–5.23 1.44–5.73 | 6.86 3.33–10.40 2.29–11.44 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 5.10 2.88–7.31 2.31–7.88 | 4.85 2.85–6.85 2.32–7.38 | 9.95 5.73–14.16 4.63–15.27 | 47% 41% |
| Possession % | 43.06 36.27–49.85 34.60–51.52 | 56.80 50.01–63.58 48.34–65.25 | — | 19% 77% |
| Passes | 402 335–469 317–487 | 512 445–578 428–596 | 914 780–1047 744–1083 | 18% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.60 63.57–71.63 62.27–72.92 | 73.94 69.62–78.27 68.31–79.58 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 14.43 11.59–17.27 10.83–18.02 | 10.27 7.33–13.22 6.58–13.97 | 24.70 18.92–30.48 17.41–31.99 | 77% 17% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.79 0.69–2.88 0.40–3.17 | 3.67 1.41–5.92 0.83–6.51 | 41% 22% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.81 0.76–2.86 0.49–3.12 | 1.68 0.55–2.81 0.26–3.10 | 3.49 1.31–5.66 0.75–6.22 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.30 1.87–4.74 1.48–5.12 | 2.73 1.18–4.29 0.75–4.72 | 6.04 3.04–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.