Ligue 1·Regular Season - 22·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
26%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.332.59safe0.29–2.230.47–2.180.77–4.41safer0.04–2.480.25–2.410.29–4.89
Shots on target
44%
13%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.544.469.00safe2.68–6.402.72–6.205.39–12.60safer2.19–6.892.25–6.674.44–13.56
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9912.4326.42safe10.07–17.928.87–15.9918.94–33.91safer8.98–19.017.91–16.9516.89–35.96
Shots in box
49%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction8.347.9016.24safe5.40–11.285.22–10.5810.61–21.86safer4.57–12.114.48–11.319.05–23.43
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.683.246.92safe1.80–5.561.58–4.893.38–10.45safer1.25–6.111.09–5.382.35–11.49
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.254.8910.14safe3.04–7.472.88–6.895.92–14.35safer2.47–8.042.35–7.424.82–15.46
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.2157.22safe35.42–49.0050.44–64.01safer33.75–50.6748.77–65.68
Passes
15%
84%
homeawaytotalprediction412534946safe345–479468–601813–1080safer327–498450–618777–1116
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction67.4675.83safe63.43–71.4971.51–80.16safer62.14–72.7870.20–81.47
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3112.6324.93safe9.47–15.149.68–15.5719.15–30.71safer8.71–15.908.93–16.3217.65–32.22
Offsides
34%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.993.73safe0.58–2.900.90–3.091.48–5.98safer0.28–3.200.61–3.370.89–6.57
Yellow cards
37%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.753.41safe0.61–2.710.62–2.881.23–5.59safer0.35–2.980.33–3.170.68–6.15
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
39%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.923.116.04safe1.49–4.361.56–4.673.05–9.03safer1.10–4.751.13–5.102.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.29–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.33 0.47–2.18 0.25–2.41 | 2.59 0.77–4.41 0.29–4.89 | 35% 26% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.54 2.68–6.40 2.19–6.89 | 4.46 2.72–6.20 2.25–6.67 | 9.00 5.39–12.60 4.44–13.56 | 44% 13% 42% |
| Total shots | 13.99 10.07–17.92 8.98–19.01 | 12.43 8.87–15.99 7.91–16.95 | 26.42 18.94–33.91 16.89–35.96 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 8.34 5.40–11.28 4.57–12.11 | 7.90 5.22–10.58 4.48–11.31 | 16.24 10.61–21.86 9.05–23.43 | 49% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 3.68 1.80–5.56 1.25–6.11 | 3.24 1.58–4.89 1.09–5.38 | 6.92 3.38–10.45 2.35–11.49 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 5.25 3.04–7.47 2.47–8.04 | 4.89 2.88–6.89 2.35–7.42 | 10.14 5.92–14.35 4.82–15.46 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 42.21 35.42–49.00 33.75–50.67 | 57.22 50.44–64.01 48.77–65.68 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 412 345–479 327–498 | 534 468–601 450–618 | 946 813–1080 777–1116 | 15% 84% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.46 63.43–71.49 62.14–72.78 | 75.83 71.51–80.16 70.20–81.47 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 12.31 9.47–15.14 8.71–15.90 | 12.63 9.68–15.57 8.93–16.32 | 24.93 19.15–30.71 17.65–32.22 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.99 0.90–3.09 0.61–3.37 | 3.73 1.48–5.98 0.89–6.57 | 34% 21% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 1.75 0.62–2.88 0.33–3.17 | 3.41 1.23–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 37% 23% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.92 1.49–4.36 1.10–4.75 | 3.11 1.56–4.67 1.13–5.10 | 6.04 3.05–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 39% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.