Predicted match statistics
Goals
22%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.101.913.01safe0.13–2.071.06–2.771.19–4.84safer0.00–2.320.83–2.990.71–5.32
Shots on target
24%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.845.519.34safe1.97–5.703.77–7.255.74–12.95safer1.48–6.193.30–7.724.78–13.91
Total shots
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9414.6726.60safe8.01–15.8611.11–18.2319.12–34.09safer6.92–16.9510.15–19.1917.07–36.14
Shots in box
24%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction7.079.3916.46safe4.12–10.016.71–12.0710.83–22.08safer3.30–10.845.97–12.819.27–23.65
Blocked shots
31%
15%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.003.816.82safe1.12–4.892.16–5.463.28–10.35safer0.58–5.431.67–5.962.24–11.39
Corners
36%
13%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.324.899.21safe2.11–6.532.89–6.895.00–13.43safer1.53–7.112.36–7.433.89–14.53
Possession %
27%
69%
homeawayprediction45.2954.70safe38.50–52.0847.91–61.48safer36.83–53.7546.24–63.16
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction462535997safe395–529469–602863–1131safer377–547451–619828–1167
Pass accuracy %
16%
80%
homeawayprediction68.5175.67safe64.48–72.5471.34–79.99safer63.19–73.8370.03–81.30
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2411.6623.90safe9.40–15.088.72–14.6118.12–29.69safer8.65–15.847.97–15.3616.62–31.19
Offsides
29%
21%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.542.043.58safe0.38–2.700.95–3.141.33–5.84safer0.08–3.000.66–3.420.74–6.43
Yellow cards
35%
21%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.093.95safe0.81–2.910.96–3.221.77–6.13safer0.54–3.180.67–3.511.21–6.69
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.290.00–0.53safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
54%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.672.886.56safe2.24–5.111.33–4.443.56–9.55safer1.85–5.500.90–4.862.75–10.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 1.91 1.06–2.77 0.83–2.99 | 3.01 1.19–4.84 0.71–5.32 | 22% 22% 56% |
| Shots on target | 3.84 1.97–5.70 1.48–6.19 | 5.51 3.77–7.25 3.30–7.72 | 9.34 5.74–12.95 4.78–13.91 | 24% 65% |
| Total shots | 11.94 8.01–15.86 6.92–16.95 | 14.67 11.11–18.23 10.15–19.19 | 26.60 19.12–34.09 17.07–36.14 | 26% 67% |
| Shots in box | 7.07 4.12–10.01 3.30–10.84 | 9.39 6.71–12.07 5.97–12.81 | 16.46 10.83–22.08 9.27–23.65 | 24% 67% |
| Blocked shots | 3.00 1.12–4.89 0.58–5.43 | 3.81 2.16–5.46 1.67–5.96 | 6.82 3.28–10.35 2.24–11.39 | 31% 15% 54% |
| Corners | 4.32 2.11–6.53 1.53–7.11 | 4.89 2.89–6.89 2.36–7.43 | 9.21 5.00–13.43 3.89–14.53 | 36% 13% 51% |
| Possession % | 45.29 38.50–52.08 36.83–53.75 | 54.70 47.91–61.48 46.24–63.16 | — | 27% 69% |
| Passes | 462 395–529 377–547 | 535 469–602 451–619 | 997 863–1131 828–1167 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.51 64.48–72.54 63.19–73.83 | 75.67 71.34–79.99 70.03–81.30 | — | 16% 80% |
| Fouls | 12.24 9.40–15.08 8.65–15.84 | 11.66 8.72–14.61 7.97–15.36 | 23.90 18.12–29.69 16.62–31.19 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 2.04 0.95–3.14 0.66–3.42 | 3.58 1.33–5.84 0.74–6.43 | 29% 21% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.18 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.95 1.77–6.13 1.21–6.69 | 35% 21% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.67 2.24–5.11 1.85–5.50 | 2.88 1.33–4.44 0.90–4.86 | 6.56 3.56–9.55 2.75–10.36 | 54% 15% 30% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.