Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
19%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.191.013.20safe1.22–3.160.15–1.861.37–5.02safer0.97–3.410.00–2.090.89–5.50
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.303.569.86safe4.44–8.161.82–5.306.25–13.46safer3.95–8.651.35–5.775.30–14.42
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction17.299.3626.65safe13.36–21.215.80–12.9219.16–34.14safer12.27–22.304.84–13.8817.11–36.19
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction12.286.0918.37safe9.34–15.223.41–8.7712.75–23.99safer8.51–16.052.67–9.5111.18–25.56
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction4.642.236.88safe2.76–6.530.58–3.893.34–10.41safer2.22–7.070.09–4.382.31–11.45
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.753.6710.42safe4.54–8.971.67–5.676.21–14.64safer3.97–9.541.14–6.205.10–15.75
Possession %
78%
19%
homeawayprediction57.3243.16safe50.53–64.1136.37–49.94safer48.86–65.7834.70–51.62
Passes
86%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction544414957safe477–611347–480824–1091safer458–629330–498788–1127
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction75.3172.22safe71.28–79.3467.90–76.54safer69.99–80.6366.59–77.85
Fouls
21%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9514.5925.55safe8.12–13.7911.65–17.5419.77–31.33safer7.36–14.5510.90–18.2918.26–32.83
Offsides
46%
21%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.673.70safe0.86–3.180.58–2.771.44–5.95safer0.56–3.490.29–3.060.86–6.54
Yellow cards
22%
20%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.293.65safe0.31–2.411.16–3.421.47–5.83safer0.04–2.670.87–3.710.92–6.39
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.15safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.78
GK saves
18%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.364.166.52safe0.92–3.802.60–5.713.53–9.51safer0.54–4.182.18–6.142.71–10.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.19 1.22–3.16 0.97–3.41 | 1.01 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 3.20 1.37–5.02 0.89–5.50 | 64% 19% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.30 4.44–8.16 3.95–8.65 | 3.56 1.82–5.30 1.35–5.77 | 9.86 6.25–13.46 5.30–14.42 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.29 13.36–21.21 12.27–22.30 | 9.36 5.80–12.92 4.84–13.88 | 26.65 19.16–34.14 17.11–36.19 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 12.28 9.34–15.22 8.51–16.05 | 6.09 3.41–8.77 2.67–9.51 | 18.37 12.75–23.99 11.18–25.56 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 4.64 2.76–6.53 2.22–7.07 | 2.23 0.58–3.89 0.09–4.38 | 6.88 3.34–10.41 2.31–11.45 | 77% |
| Corners | 6.75 4.54–8.97 3.97–9.54 | 3.67 1.67–5.67 1.14–6.20 | 10.42 6.21–14.64 5.10–15.75 | 79% |
| Possession % | 57.32 50.53–64.11 48.86–65.78 | 43.16 36.37–49.94 34.70–51.62 | — | 78% 19% |
| Passes | 544 477–611 458–629 | 414 347–480 330–498 | 957 824–1091 788–1127 | 86% 14% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.31 71.28–79.34 69.99–80.63 | 72.22 67.90–76.54 66.59–77.85 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 10.95 8.12–13.79 7.36–14.55 | 14.59 11.65–17.54 10.90–18.29 | 25.55 19.77–31.33 18.26–32.83 | 21% 73% |
| Offsides | 2.02 0.86–3.18 0.56–3.49 | 1.67 0.58–2.77 0.29–3.06 | 3.70 1.44–5.95 0.86–6.54 | 46% 21% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.04–2.67 | 2.29 1.16–3.42 0.87–3.71 | 3.65 1.47–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 22% 20% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.92–3.80 0.54–4.18 | 4.16 2.60–5.71 2.18–6.14 | 6.52 3.53–9.51 2.71–10.32 | 18% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.