Ligue 1·Regular Season - 22·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
45%
25%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.272.87safe0.63–2.570.41–2.121.05–4.69safer0.38–2.820.19–2.350.57–5.17
Shots on target
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.904.439.33safe3.04–6.772.69–6.175.73–12.94safer2.55–7.252.22–6.644.77–13.89
Total shots
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6512.1226.77safe10.72–18.578.56–15.6919.28–34.26safer9.63–19.677.60–16.6417.23–36.31
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction9.808.3118.11safe6.86–12.745.63–10.9912.48–23.73safer6.03–13.574.89–11.7310.92–25.30
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.843.277.11safe1.96–5.721.62–4.933.58–10.65safer1.42–6.271.13–5.422.54–11.69
Corners
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.394.6810.07safe3.17–7.602.68–6.685.85–14.28safer2.60–8.172.15–7.214.75–15.39
Possession %
76%
21%
homeawayprediction56.6643.85safe49.87–63.4537.06–50.63safer48.20–65.1235.39–52.30
Passes
87%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction518384901safe450–585317–450768–1035safer432–603300–468732–1071
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction72.1170.20safe68.08–76.1465.87–74.52safer66.79–77.4364.57–75.83
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7613.6526.41safe9.92–15.5910.71–16.6020.63–32.19safer9.16–16.359.96–17.3519.12–33.70
Offsides
39%
21%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.893.75safe0.70–3.020.79–2.981.49–6.00safer0.40–3.320.51–3.270.90–6.59
Yellow cards
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.474.13safe0.61–2.711.34–3.591.95–6.30safer0.35–2.981.05–3.891.39–6.86
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
34%
16%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.903.426.32safe1.46–4.331.87–4.983.33–9.31safer1.07–4.721.44–5.402.52–10.13
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.60 0.63–2.57 0.38–2.82 | 1.27 0.41–2.12 0.19–2.35 | 2.87 1.05–4.69 0.57–5.17 | 45% 25% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.90 3.04–6.77 2.55–7.25 | 4.43 2.69–6.17 2.22–6.64 | 9.33 5.73–12.94 4.77–13.89 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.65 10.72–18.57 9.63–19.67 | 12.12 8.56–15.69 7.60–16.64 | 26.77 19.28–34.26 17.23–36.31 | 65% 28% |
| Shots in box | 9.80 6.86–12.74 6.03–13.57 | 8.31 5.63–10.99 4.89–11.73 | 18.11 12.48–23.73 10.92–25.30 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.84 1.96–5.72 1.42–6.27 | 3.27 1.62–4.93 1.13–5.42 | 7.11 3.58–10.65 2.54–11.69 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.39 3.17–7.60 2.60–8.17 | 4.68 2.68–6.68 2.15–7.21 | 10.07 5.85–14.28 4.75–15.39 | 52% 35% |
| Possession % | 56.66 49.87–63.45 48.20–65.12 | 43.85 37.06–50.63 35.39–52.30 | — | 76% 21% |
| Passes | 518 450–585 432–603 | 384 317–450 300–468 | 901 768–1035 732–1071 | 87% 13% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.11 68.08–76.14 66.79–77.43 | 70.20 65.87–74.52 64.57–75.83 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 12.76 9.92–15.59 9.16–16.35 | 13.65 10.71–16.60 9.96–17.35 | 26.41 20.63–32.19 19.12–33.70 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.89 0.79–2.98 0.51–3.27 | 3.75 1.49–6.00 0.90–6.59 | 39% 21% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 2.47 1.34–3.59 1.05–3.89 | 4.13 1.95–6.30 1.39–6.86 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.90 1.46–4.33 1.07–4.72 | 3.42 1.87–4.98 1.44–5.40 | 6.32 3.33–9.31 2.52–10.13 | 34% 16% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.