Ligue 1·Regular Season - 22·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
27%
25%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.101.572.68safe0.14–2.070.72–2.430.85–4.50safer0.00–2.320.49–2.660.37–4.98
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.224.538.75safe2.36–6.092.79–6.275.15–12.36safer1.87–6.572.32–6.744.19–13.31
Total shots
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7912.7025.49safe8.86–16.719.14–16.2718.00–32.98safer7.77–17.808.18–17.2315.95–35.03
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction8.488.6617.14safe5.54–11.425.98–11.3411.52–22.76safer4.71–12.255.24–12.089.95–24.33
Blocked shots
47%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.623.276.89safe1.73–5.501.62–4.923.35–10.42safer1.19–6.041.13–5.422.32–11.46
Corners
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.934.699.62safe2.72–7.152.69–6.695.41–13.84safer2.15–7.722.16–7.224.30–14.94
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction40.4559.25safe33.66–47.2452.47–66.03safer31.99–48.9150.79–67.71
Passes
94%
homeawaytotalprediction372562934safe305–439495–628800–1068safer287–458478–646765–1103
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction64.0574.32safe60.02–68.0770.00–78.64safer58.72–69.3768.69–79.95
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1012.3823.47safe8.26–13.939.43–15.3217.69–29.25safer7.50–14.698.68–16.0716.18–30.76
Offsides
29%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.582.093.68safe0.42–2.751.00–3.181.42–5.93safer0.12–3.050.71–3.470.83–6.52
Yellow cards
40%
23%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.543.18safe0.59–2.690.41–2.671.00–5.35safer0.32–2.950.12–2.960.44–5.91
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
45%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.152.946.09safe1.72–4.591.38–4.493.10–9.08safer1.33–4.980.96–4.922.29–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.14–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 1.57 0.72–2.43 0.49–2.66 | 2.68 0.85–4.50 0.37–4.98 | 27% 25% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.22 2.36–6.09 1.87–6.57 | 4.53 2.79–6.27 2.32–6.74 | 8.75 5.15–12.36 4.19–13.31 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 12.79 8.86–16.71 7.77–17.80 | 12.70 9.14–16.27 8.18–17.23 | 25.49 18.00–32.98 15.95–35.03 | 47% 45% |
| Shots in box | 8.48 5.54–11.42 4.71–12.25 | 8.66 5.98–11.34 5.24–12.08 | 17.14 11.52–22.76 9.95–24.33 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.73–5.50 1.19–6.04 | 3.27 1.62–4.92 1.13–5.42 | 6.89 3.35–10.42 2.32–11.46 | 47% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 4.93 2.72–7.15 2.15–7.72 | 4.69 2.69–6.69 2.16–7.22 | 9.62 5.41–13.84 4.30–14.94 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Possession % | 40.45 33.66–47.24 31.99–48.91 | 59.25 52.47–66.03 50.79–67.71 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 372 305–439 287–458 | 562 495–628 478–646 | 934 800–1068 765–1103 | 94% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.05 60.02–68.07 58.72–69.37 | 74.32 70.00–78.64 68.69–79.95 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 11.10 8.26–13.93 7.50–14.69 | 12.38 9.43–15.32 8.68–16.07 | 23.47 17.69–29.25 16.18–30.76 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.58 0.42–2.75 0.12–3.05 | 2.09 1.00–3.18 0.71–3.47 | 3.68 1.42–5.93 0.83–6.52 | 29% 21% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.32–2.95 | 1.54 0.41–2.67 0.12–2.96 | 3.18 1.00–5.35 0.44–5.91 | 40% 23% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.15 1.72–4.59 1.33–4.98 | 2.94 1.38–4.49 0.96–4.92 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.29–9.89 | 45% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.