Ligue 1·Regular Season - 22·
Ligue 1·Regular Season - 22·Predicted match statistics
Goals
86%
homeawaytotalprediction3.370.744.11safe2.40–4.340.00–1.602.29–5.94safer2.15–4.590.00–1.821.81–6.42
Shots on target
94%
homeawaytotalprediction8.592.8911.48safe6.73–10.451.15–4.637.88–15.09safer6.24–10.940.68–5.106.92–16.04
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.127.5028.62safe17.19–25.043.94–11.0621.13–36.11safer16.10–26.132.98–12.0219.08–38.16
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction14.255.2919.54safe11.30–17.192.61–7.9713.91–25.16safer10.48–18.021.87–8.7112.35–26.73
Blocked shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction5.421.957.37safe3.54–7.300.30–3.603.84–10.91safer3.00–7.850.00–4.102.80–11.94
Corners
95%
homeawaytotalprediction8.482.7211.20safe6.26–10.690.72–4.726.99–15.41safer5.69–11.260.19–5.265.88–16.52
Possession %
99%
homeawayprediction70.4829.87safe63.69–77.2723.09–36.66safer62.02–78.9421.41–38.33
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7633341097safe695–830267–400963–1230safer677–848250–418927–1266
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction84.6468.85safe80.61–88.6764.53–73.17safer79.31–89.9663.22–74.48
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction8.5410.6319.16safe5.70–11.377.68–13.5713.38–24.95safer4.94–12.136.93–14.3211.88–26.45
Offsides
41%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.242.224.46safe1.08–3.401.12–3.312.21–6.71safer0.78–3.710.83–3.601.62–7.30
Yellow cards
19%
24%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction0.881.692.57safe0.00–1.930.57–2.820.39–4.75safer0.00–2.190.27–3.120.00–5.31
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.110.15safe0.00–0.200.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.350.00–0.430.00–0.78
GK saves
83%
homeawaytotalprediction2.115.207.31safe0.68–3.553.64–6.754.32–10.30safer0.29–3.943.21–7.183.51–11.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.37 2.40–4.34 2.15–4.59 | 0.74 0.00–1.60 0.00–1.82 | 4.11 2.29–5.94 1.81–6.42 | 86% |
| Shots on target | 8.59 6.73–10.45 6.24–10.94 | 2.89 1.15–4.63 0.68–5.10 | 11.48 7.88–15.09 6.92–16.04 | 94% |
| Total shots | 21.12 17.19–25.04 16.10–26.13 | 7.50 3.94–11.06 2.98–12.02 | 28.62 21.13–36.11 19.08–38.16 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.25 11.30–17.19 10.48–18.02 | 5.29 2.61–7.97 1.87–8.71 | 19.54 13.91–25.16 12.35–26.73 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.42 3.54–7.30 3.00–7.85 | 1.95 0.30–3.60 0.00–4.10 | 7.37 3.84–10.91 2.80–11.94 | 87% |
| Corners | 8.48 6.26–10.69 5.69–11.26 | 2.72 0.72–4.72 0.19–5.26 | 11.20 6.99–15.41 5.88–16.52 | 95% |
| Possession % | 70.48 63.69–77.27 62.02–78.94 | 29.87 23.09–36.66 21.41–38.33 | — | 99% |
| Passes | 763 695–830 677–848 | 334 267–400 250–418 | 1097 963–1230 927–1266 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.64 80.61–88.67 79.31–89.96 | 68.85 64.53–73.17 63.22–74.48 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 8.54 5.70–11.37 4.94–12.13 | 10.63 7.68–13.57 6.93–14.32 | 19.16 13.38–24.95 11.88–26.45 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 2.24 1.08–3.40 0.78–3.71 | 2.22 1.12–3.31 0.83–3.60 | 4.46 2.21–6.71 1.62–7.30 | 41% 20% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 0.88 0.00–1.93 0.00–2.19 | 1.69 0.57–2.82 0.27–3.12 | 2.57 0.39–4.75 0.00–5.31 | 19% 24% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.11 0.68–3.55 0.29–3.94 | 5.20 3.64–6.75 3.21–7.18 | 7.31 4.32–10.30 3.51–11.11 | 83% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.